Tue, Jan 28, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
8%
62%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| St. Louis–Johnson–Palat | Filppula–Purcell–Killorn | Malone–Crombeen–Thompson | Filppula–Kucherov–Brown | Thompson–Kucherov–Brown | St. Louis–Kucherov–Brown | Johnson–Kucherov–Brown | Killorn–Palat–Kucherov | Carle–Gudas | Brewer–Barberio | Salo–Hedman | Aulie–Hedman | Salo–Brewer | Brewer–Gudas | Salo–Carle | Barberio–Hedman | Carle–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 8:280.24–0.22 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:590.08–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 6:280.14–0.15 | 0:530.00–0.03 | 3:220.16–0.12 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 1:090.03–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Lupul–Kulemin–Kadri | 1:230.08–0.00 | 6:540.25–0.09 | 1:360.05–0.00 | 2:130.14–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:410.02–0.03 | 1:330.02–0.60 | 3:100.16–0.00 | 1:170.12–0.01 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:160.09–0.00 | 0:520.06–0.03 | |||||
| Bodie–Raymond–Holland | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.02 | 1:470.01–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:340.15–0.00 | 1:000.15–0.00 | 5:290.44–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Orr–McClement–Ashton | 0:310.00–0.06 | 2:420.14–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 8:370.27–0.15 | 1:330.12–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 5:480.12–0.14 | 2:190.01–0.03 | 1:580.19–0.10 | 1:010.06–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 6:310.20–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.07 | 1:000.15–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 3:570.28–0.04 | 1:500.00–0.11 | 1:370.12–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:200.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gleason–Franson | 1:380.10–0.02 | 6:590.13–0.09 | 1:310.02–0.00 | 2:560.05–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 3:340.04–0.14 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:390.06–0.03 | ||||||||
| Phaneuf–Franson | 0:350.00–0.10 | 0:520.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Franson–Gardiner | 1:080.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||
| Gleason–Gunnarsson | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 1:080.02–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 0:540.15–0.05 | 0:540.15–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 25 | 25:24 | 1:01 | 2:50 | 6 | 2 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 24:29 | 1:01 | 1:52 | 8 | 1 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 30 | 24:19 | 0:49 | 2:13 | 4 | 8 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 23:33 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 6 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 23 | 22:07 | 0:58 | 2:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 25 | 21:31 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 4 | 3 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 28 | 21:27 | 0:46 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 25 | 21:07 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 25 | 20:51 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 1 | 0 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 25 | 20:49 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 5 | 5 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 20 | 20:45 | 1:02 | 2:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 24 | 19:58 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 2 | 6 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 21 | 19:47 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 22 | 18:58 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 2 | 6 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 25 | 18:35 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 1 | 10 |
 Tim GleasonTOR | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 2 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 22 | 18:14 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 19 | 16:38 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 5 | 3 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 20 | 16:37 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 22 | 16:18 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 16 | 15:25 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 17 | 15:20 | 0:54 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 20 | 14:25 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Mason RaymondTOR | 16 | 13:56 | 0:52 | 1:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Jay McClementTOR | 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 1 | 10 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 2:15 | 1 | 0 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 13 | 10:53 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 JT BrownTBL | 15 | 10:16 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 13 | 10:12 | 0:47 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 11 | 8:44 | 0:48 | 1:03 | 3 | 0 |
 Troy BodieTOR | 10 | 7:35 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 8 | 5:16 | 0:40 | 0:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Carter AshtonTOR | 5 | 5:10 | 1:02 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Colton OrrTOR | 6 | 4:52 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |