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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2014·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 3:22Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 3:30Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 5:26Goal by St. Louis (Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Smith, Bourque, Jones · TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat

  6. P1 5:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 6:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:00Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 8:43Ellis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Hornqvist, Del Zotto, Ellis · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Hedman, Kucherov, Brown

  11. P1 9:13Goal by St. Louis (Kucherov, Purcell)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi · TBL St. Louis, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  12. P1 9:25Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 9:38Shot by Crombeen, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 9:51Shot by Malone, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 10:29Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Clune, Stalberg, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones · TBL Brewer, Barberio, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Brown

  16. P1 10:33Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop5v4
  17. P1 16:41Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 18:08Shot by Nystrom, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 18:32Shot by Crombeen, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 19:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 19:26Smith: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:08Shot by Ellis, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 2:43Shot by Brewer, saved by Hutton
  26. P2 2:46Stalberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Stalberg, Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis, Bourque · TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Johnson, Gudas

  27. P2 2:46Brewer: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Stalberg, Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis, Bourque · TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Johnson, Gudas

  28. P2 2:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Hutton4v4
  29. P2 3:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Hutton4v4
  30. P2 3:53Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop4v4
  31. P2 4:53Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 8:37Shot by Purcell, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 9:05Shot by Ekholm, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 9:22Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Clune, Ekholm, Jones, Moser · TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Barberio

  35. P2 9:22Clune: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Clune, Ekholm, Jones, Moser · TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Barberio

  36. P2 10:31Kucherov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Fisher, Hornqvist, Del Zotto, Ellis · TBL Brewer, Killorn, Gudas, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  37. P2 12:05Goal by Cullen (Ellis, Smith)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Wilson, Ellis, Smith, Jones · TBL St. Louis, Carle, Hedman, Brown

  38. P2 12:37Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 12:44Namestnikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque · TBL Malone, Carle, Thompson, Gudas, Namestnikov

  40. P2 13:16Goal by Josi (Weber)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · TBL Salo, Brewer, Johnson, Palat

  41. P2 15:19Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 15:43Shot by Wilson, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 16:12Shot by Moser, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 16:47Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 18:16Shot by Fisher, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 18:48Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:17Shot by Crombeen, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 5:00Shot by Nystrom, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 5:25Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 5:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 7:07Shot by Purcell, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 10:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Hutton5v6
  55. P3 10:09Gaustad: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Clune, Del Zotto, Ellis, Moser · TBL St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Gudas

  56. P3 10:16Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop4v5
  57. P3 11:59Malone: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Ekholm, Jones · TBL Salo, Malone, Carle, Killorn, Palat

  58. P3 13:23Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop5v4
  59. P3 13:56Goal by Hornqvist (Fisher, Weber)5v4+35 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · TBL Carle, Thompson, Pyatt, Gudas

  60. P3 17:44Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 18:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final