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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2014·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Johnson–PalatMalone–Crombeen–ThompsonPyatt–Purcell–KillornKucherov–Namestnikov–BrownMalone–Crombeen–JohnsonCarle–GudasBrewer–BarberioSalo–HedmanBarberio–Hedman
Cullen–Fisher–Hornqvist1:170.17–0.101:050.18–0.033:090.14–0.022:460.00–0.005:230.47–0.032:260.00–0.122:150.11–0.00
Legwand–Smith–Bourque7:170.17–0.400:460.00–0.001:110.06–0.003:230.21–0.404:070.06–0.002:160.03–0.00
Nystrom–Stalberg–Wilson0:370.00–0.002:060.00–0.162:430.05–0.092:560.03–0.130:310.03–0.002:480.03–0.053:240.08–0.212:580.03–0.110:360.00–0.00
Gaustad–Clune–Moser4:280.01–0.040:400.00–0.001:510.00–0.022:490.01–0.000:360.00–0.02
Cullen–Fisher–Smith
Weber–Josi9:330.34–0.142:440.18–0.021:060.06–0.000:390.01–0.066:020.68–0.065:220.00–0.103:440.07–0.060:460.00–0.00
Del Zotto–Ellis1:050.00–0.001:250.00–0.166:020.17–0.124:100.02–0.070:330.03–0.265:470.00–0.055:450.13–0.233:220.12–0.02
Ekholm–Jones5:200.01–0.041:260.01–0.001:090.00–0.003:050.06–0.023:250.04–0.023:090.01–0.020:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLegwand FSmith FBourque FCullen FFisher FHornqvist FMoser FGaustad FClune FNystrom FStalberg FWilson FWeber DJosi DEllis DDel Zotto DJones DEkholm DHutton GJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPyatt FPurcell FKillorn FCrombeen FMalone FThompson FNamestnikov FKucherov FBrown FSalo DHedman DGudas DCarle DBrewer DBarberio DBishop G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH2728:181:032:3746
Roman JosiNSH2727:091:002:3756
Matt CarleTBL2524:581:002:3043
Mike FisherNSH2522:160:532:5344
Radko GudasTBL2322:040:581:5732
Tyler JohnsonTBL2821:530:471:3172
Victor HedmanTBL2520:050:481:2543
Martin St. LouisTBL2519:440:471:2573
Ryan EllisNSH2319:140:501:3340
David LegwandNSH2418:550:471:5765
Ondrej PalatTBL2418:520:471:3143
Eric BrewerTBL2118:050:522:0526
Michael Del ZottoNSH2117:330:501:3330
Craig SmithNSH2317:100:451:1535
Mark BarberioTBL1716:500:592:4223
Teddy PurcellTBL1716:330:581:1751
Patric HornqvistNSH2016:170:491:4132
Tom PyattTBL1916:170:511:5734
Matt CullenNSH2115:490:451:1631
Eric NystromNSH2215:420:431:1024
Seth JonesNSH1914:590:471:2052
Nate ThompsonTBL2014:550:451:5729
Sami SaloTBL2414:540:371:0824
Colin WilsonNSH1914:320:461:1331
Gabriel BourqueNSH2214:040:381:1514
Alex KillornTBL1813:540:461:1531
Ryan MaloneTBL1813:440:461:1416
Viktor StalbergNSH1813:000:431:0822
Mattias EkholmNSH1612:470:481:1042
B.J. CrombeenTBL1512:040:481:1426
Nikita KucherovTBL1611:220:431:2030
Paul GaustadNSH2011:170:341:2566
JT BrownTBL148:490:381:2610
Simon MoserNSH128:220:421:1551
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL148:100:351:0510
Rich CluneNSH116:060:330:5251