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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 1, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 84% of the time.

DAL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:25Goal by St. Louis (Brewer, Palat)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Garbutt · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Barberio, Johnson, Palat

  4. P1 3:01Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 3:27Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Garbutt, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 5:09Shot by Peverley, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 5:26Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 5:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 6:41Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 6:45Shot by Whitney, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 7:57Shot by Malone, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 8:47Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:31Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 11:02Shot by Chiasson, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 12:09Goal by Thompson (Hedman, Killorn)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Garbutt · TBL Malone, Thompson, Killorn, Kostka, Hedman

  17. P1 13:22Chiasson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Horcoff, Rome, Chiasson, Connauton · TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Kostka

  18. P1 13:22Chiasson: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Horcoff, Rome, Chiasson, Connauton · TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Kostka

  19. P1 14:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  20. P1 16:14Hedman: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Rome, Benn, Eakin, Garbutt · TBL Malone, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Palat

  21. P1 16:14Garbutt: Diving (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Rome, Benn, Eakin, Garbutt · TBL Malone, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Palat

  22. P1 17:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Killorn, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P1 18:44Shot by Barberio, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:15Shot by Eakin, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Benn, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 2:01Shot by Brown, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 2:30Shot by Malone, saved by Lehtonen
  31. P2 4:57Shot by Gonchar, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 7:50Shot by Fiddler, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 7:53Shot by Roussel, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 8:43Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 9:01Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 9:07Shot by Whitney, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 10:39Shot by Benn, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 10:40Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 12:02Shot by Garbutt, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 14:31Goal by St. Louis (Palat)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Peverley, Benn, Eakin, Connauton · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Killorn, Hedman, Palat

  41. P2 15:35Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 15:50Goal by Roussel (Connauton, Fiddler)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Benn, Roussel, Connauton, Garbutt · TBL Malone, Thompson, Kostka, Hedman, Brown

  43. P2 16:40Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 17:21Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 18:11Goal by Fiddler (Roussel, Garbutt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Garbutt · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Pyatt, Hedman, Palat

  46. P2 18:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 18:26Shot by Carle, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 18:30Shot by Brown, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P2 18:56Shot by Benn, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 19:37Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 19:38Malone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Daley, Goligoski, Seguin, Nichushkin · TBL Brewer, Malone, Thompson, Purcell, Barberio

  52. P2 19:59Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:59Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop5v4
  56. P3 1:43Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bishop
  57. P3 2:13Shot by Roussel, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 2:16Shot by Goligoski, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 4:42Shot by Fiddler, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 5:52Shot by Garbutt, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 7:12Goal by Salo (Hedman, Killorn)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Benn, Chiasson, Eakin, Connauton · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman

  62. P3 9:07Shot by Malone, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 9:39Purcell: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Cole, Rome, Seguin, Nichushkin · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Killorn, Hedman, Brown

  64. P3 9:54Shot by Chiasson, saved by Bishop5v4
  65. P3 10:59Shot by Horcoff, saved by Bishop5v4
  66. P3 15:14Hedman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Daley, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin · TBL Malone, Carle, Thompson, Purcell, Hedman

  67. P3 15:29Shot by Seguin, saved by Bishop5v4
  68. P3 16:08Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop5v4
  69. P3 17:25Shot by Gudas, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 18:33Shot by Eakin, saved by Bishop6v5
  71. P3 18:51Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop6v5
  72. P3 18:54Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop6v5
  73. P3 19:47Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop6v5
  74. P3 19:49Shot by Eakin, saved by Bishop6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final