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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 1, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 84% of the time.

DAL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Johnson–PalatPyatt–Purcell–KillornKucherov–Namestnikov–BrownMalone–Thompson–BrownSt. Louis–Malone–ThompsonMalone–Thompson–PurcellMalone–Thompson–KillornSt. Louis–Pyatt–PalatSalo–HedmanBrewer–BarberioCarle–GudasCarle–KostkaCarle–BarberioBrewer–GudasKostka–HedmanBrewer–Kostka
Benn–Seguin–Nichushkin2:130.62–0.003:120.11–0.031:360.14–0.021:110.00–0.101:120.10–0.000:320.00–0.000:390.00–0.005:240.92–0.022:240.05–0.124:150.25–0.13
Fiddler–Roussel–Garbutt4:290.63–0.170:530.00–0.021:010.09–0.000:470.02–0.101:000.14–0.023:190.33–0.171:550.24–0.121:220.23–0.001:080.00–0.010:350.00–0.000:300.16–0.10
Cole–Chiasson–Eakin1:110.00–0.002:130.00–0.040:430.00–0.010:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:560.00–0.041:390.00–0.012:450.15–0.000:300.00–0.00
Cole–Peverley–Eakin1:090.00–0.001:110.01–0.000:380.00–0.001:110.01–0.001:350.00–0.000:360.01–0.00
Whitney–Horcoff–Chiasson1:090.00–0.140:420.00–0.000:540.01–0.120:420.00–0.00
Whitney–Horcoff–Peverley0:380.02–0.000:340.00–0.020:380.00–0.000:510.00–0.020:420.02–0.00
Daley–Goligoski6:261.25–0.042:110.07–0.020:430.00–0.000:340.10–0.000:410.08–0.000:580.04–0.003:450.88–0.024:230.46–0.003:500.27–0.121:120.14–0.001:080.00–0.000:380.00–0.13
Benn–Connauton4:040.02–0.040:340.00–0.020:550.16–0.080:330.00–0.002:230.04–0.141:350.00–0.123:020.16–0.120:570.16–0.020:420.02–0.00
Gonchar–Rome0:410.00–0.130:530.03–0.022:140.23–0.010:550.00–0.022:250.17–0.021:300.00–0.141:060.08–0.001:440.09–0.00
Gonchar–Benn1:410.00–0.000:480.00–0.140:320.00–0.000:580.00–0.121:340.00–0.040:320.00–0.00
Rome–Connauton1:010.02–0.001:350.01–0.021:070.03–0.000:310.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:390.01–0.00
Goligoski–Benn1:120.00–0.090:390.07–0.000:420.07–0.001:000.00–0.09
Daley–Connauton0:580.00–0.00
Rome–Benn0:430.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FNichushkin FSeguin FGarbutt FRoussel FFiddler FEakin FCole FPeverley FHorcoff FChiasson FWhitney FBenn DGonchar DDaley DGoligoski DConnauton DRome DLehtonen GMalone FSt. Louis FThompson FPyatt FPurcell FKillorn FJohnson FPalat FBrown FNamestnikov FKucherov FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DBarberio DKostka DBishop G
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex GoligoskiDAL3025:420:512:1564
Trevor DaleyDAL2822:440:491:5753
Jamie BennDAL2922:250:461:3875
Tyler SeguinDAL2422:240:562:0355
Matt CarleTBL2921:050:441:3462
Eric BrewerTBL2820:170:431:0817
Ondrej PalatTBL3020:130:401:4946
Victor HedmanTBL3020:010:401:25311
Tyler JohnsonTBL2519:390:471:2834
Martin St. LouisTBL2919:300:401:3634
Jordie BennDAL2819:080:411:2336
Cody EakinDAL2419:040:481:3441
Erik ColeDAL2319:030:501:2361
Valeri NichushkinDAL2518:170:441:2354
Teddy PurcellTBL2218:090:502:0155
Alex KillornTBL2517:220:421:1654
Tom PyattTBL2817:190:371:16412
Alex ChiassonDAL2416:480:421:2373
Kevin ConnautonDAL2216:120:441:3443
Sami SaloTBL2615:550:371:25512
Radko GudasTBL2215:510:431:3433
Sergei GoncharDAL2015:150:461:1922
Nate ThompsonTBL2514:550:361:1937
Mark BarberioTBL2014:400:441:3413
JT BrownTBL2114:350:421:5323
Ryan MaloneTBL2514:240:351:0925
Vernon FiddlerDAL2114:040:401:1933
Ryan GarbuttDAL1913:340:431:2422
Aaron RomeDAL1713:310:481:2833
Antoine RousselDAL2013:230:401:1423
Nikita KucherovTBL1612:150:461:4521
Ray WhitneyDAL159:310:381:0242
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL129:080:461:4511
Michael KostkaTBL138:420:401:2731
Shawn HorcoffDAL148:400:370:5652
Rich PeverleyDAL118:280:461:3421