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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 8, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Boston Bruins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Krejci–LucicBergeron–Marchand–SmithKelly–Eriksson–SoderbergThornton–Campbell–PailleBergeron–Krejci–LucicChara–HamiltonBoychuk–BartkowskiMiller–KrugChara–MillerChara–BoychukBartkowski–MillerChara–Krug
Filppula–Callahan–Palat2:380.00–0.002:200.00–0.045:030.01–0.211:510.07–0.105:590.20–0.062:430.00–0.072:180.00–0.221:010.00–0.000:310.00–0.040:580.08–0.00
Purcell–Killorn–Stamkos3:290.12–0.073:580.00–0.063:030.05–0.050:420.11–0.004:200.05–0.075:080.01–0.101:040.11–0.000:360.00–0.000:520.05–0.01
Johnson–Panik–Brown3:520.13–0.081:390.00–0.102:040.00–0.050:460.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:030.00–0.055:300.17–0.110:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Stamkos0:340.00–0.011:020.06–0.001:080.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:250.00–0.000:340.00–0.01
Thompson–Callahan–Pyatt0:460.11–0.000:500.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:080.11–0.000:500.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Palat0:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.020:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.02
Salo–Hedman2:040.12–0.012:580.00–0.031:450.00–0.000:420.11–0.002:410.05–0.001:450.00–0.002:300.11–0.050:380.00–0.000:350.10–0.00
Carle–Kostka1:450.13–0.021:430.00–0.022:550.06–0.110:450.05–0.122:320.18–0.012:340.00–0.042:230.13–0.200:380.05–0.01
Brewer–Barberio2:020.00–0.000:400.06–0.001:370.02–0.021:260.00–0.002:440.00–0.082:100.02–0.020:500.00–0.01
Aulie–Hedman0:340.00–0.020:400.00–0.001:090.02–0.011:030.02–0.000:560.00–0.001:420.04–0.03
Brewer–Hedman1:490.03–0.020:410.00–0.001:440.03–0.021:040.00–0.05
Carle–Barberio1:220.11–0.010:530.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:300.15–0.001:250.00–0.01
Kostka–Hedman1:210.00–0.001:000.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:360.00–0.00
Carle–Hedman1:110.00–0.041:070.00–0.090:420.00–0.001:180.01–0.090:340.00–0.04
Salo–Carle1:210.00–0.000:570.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
Barberio–Hedman1:410.00–0.111:130.00–0.000:400.00–0.04
Salo–Aulie0:470.00–0.060:520.00–0.120:320.00–0.050:570.00–0.16
Brewer–Kostka0:420.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Carle–Aulie0:310.00–0.040:410.00–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:420.00–0.070:510.00–0.07
Brewer–Carle0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndJohnson FBrown FPanik FPurcell FKillorn FStamkos FPalat FCallahan FFilppula FPyatt FThompson FBrewer DCarle DHedman DSalo DBarberio DAulie DKostka DBishop GSmith FBergeron FMarchand FIginla FLucic FKrejci FEriksson FSoderberg FKelly FCampbell FPaille FThornton FChara DBoychuk DBartkowski DMiller DHamilton DKrug DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3228:250:532:1338
Zdeno CharaBOS3227:350:523:2114
Matt CarleTBL3224:260:461:3736
Milan LucicBOS2223:081:031:5921
Steven StamkosTBL3021:460:441:3655
Ondrej PalatTBL2921:370:451:3144
David KrejciBOS2221:150:581:4720
Ryan CallahanTBL2721:060:471:3433
Johnny BoychukBOS3020:490:421:0452
Sami SaloTBL3020:450:421:3629
Matt BartkowskiBOS2920:290:421:1862
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2719:580:441:2044
Eric BrewerTBL2519:570:481:5514
Patrice BergeronBOS2519:540:481:4562
Torey KrugBOS2319:260:511:4741
Jarome IginlaBOS2219:000:521:2220
Dougie HamiltonBOS2417:500:451:2712
Kevan MillerBOS2517:460:431:0924
Alex KillornTBL2217:370:481:2643
Reilly SmithBOS2217:190:471:2450
Tyler JohnsonTBL2317:020:441:0809
Loui ErikssonBOS2216:220:451:0962
Teddy PurcellTBL2316:190:431:2632
Brad MarchandBOS2416:160:411:1681
Chris KellyBOS2015:300:471:3432
Michael KostkaTBL1814:500:491:5321
Carl SoderbergBOS2014:310:441:0951
Mark BarberioTBL2013:590:422:3711
JT BrownTBL1813:170:441:3504
Tom PyattTBL1913:120:421:4107
Richard PanikTBL1511:290:461:1902
Daniel PailleBOS1510:410:431:0152
Gregory CampbellBOS1510:340:421:0242
Nate ThompsonTBL1410:260:451:5003
Shawn ThorntonBOS139:350:441:1831
Keith AulieTBL127:490:391:2002