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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 13, 2014·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

D'Agostini–Hodgson–FolignoStafford–Ennis–ConacherLeino–Deslauriers–FlynnEllis–Deslauriers–FlynnTallinder–WeberEhrhoff–MyersEhrhoff–McBainWeber–McBainTallinder–SulzerWeber–Myers
Staal–Skinner–Lindholm5:040.48–0.131:340.03–0.001:170.13–0.411:560.17–0.184:450.17–0.411:120.44–0.020:430.00–0.01
Dwyer–Gerbe–Nash2:110.10–0.010:570.10–0.011:110.00–0.021:090.00–0.004:250.10–0.021:050.02–0.010:570.00–0.020:440.10–0.00
Semin–Tlusty–Staal4:220.11–0.090:410.17–0.111:360.23–0.003:000.31–0.003:100.21–0.20
Dvorak–Bowman–Loktionov0:530.03–0.001:250.03–0.010:400.00–0.01
Dvorak–Loktionov–Skinner
Hainsey–Bellemore6:020.56–0.151:300.09–0.001:060.07–0.014:450.24–0.134:030.13–0.090:500.30–0.020:360.00–0.001:090.00–0.011:180.23–0.00
Sekera–Murphy1:270.03–0.005:290.21–0.113:550.21–0.024:030.09–0.110:310.07–0.00
Komisarek–Harrison3:160.19–0.511:170.23–0.001:570.23–0.011:590.17–0.510:330.03–0.000:360.00–0.00
Hainsey–Harrison
Harrison–Sekera0:590.00–0.001:200.00–0.00
Sekera–Bellemore0:330.03–0.000:440.05–0.00
Hainsey–Murphy0:590.03–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FTlusty FSemin FStaal FLindholm FSkinner FDwyer FNash FGerbe FLoktionov FDvorak FBowman FSekera DMurphy DHainsey DBellemore DHarrison DKomisarek DWard GStafford FEnnis FConacher FHodgson FD'Agostini FFoligno FLeino FDeslauriers FFlynn FKonopka FScott FEllis FEhrhoff DMyers DTallinder DSulzer DMcBain DWeber DNeuvirth G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Andrej SekeraCAR2523:500:572:1744
Tyler MyersBUF2923:350:491:4039
Ron HainseyCAR2522:300:541:3743
Alexander SeminCAR2622:170:512:00114
Jeff SkinnerCAR2622:010:511:1382
Henrik TallinderBUF2321:380:562:0224
Christian EhrhoffBUF2821:360:462:0727
Eric StaalCAR2521:000:502:2353
Mike WeberBUF2420:550:521:5818
Brett BellemoreCAR2220:520:572:0822
Ryan MurphyCAR2220:160:551:3363
Marcus FolignoBUF2520:080:482:0206
Matt D'AgostiniBUF2419:400:491:4713
Jordan StaalCAR2619:350:451:16105
Cody HodgsonBUF2019:330:592:1102
Jay HarrisonCAR2018:390:562:0741
Drew StaffordBUF2118:370:531:2864
Elias LindholmCAR2518:270:441:1382
Cory ConacherBUF2318:130:481:4144
Brian FlynnBUF2718:050:401:4537
Jamie McBainBUF2117:400:501:4133
Tyler EnnisBUF2117:260:501:2835
Riley NashCAR1917:040:541:3360
Patrick DwyerCAR1814:290:481:3251
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1714:140:501:5842
Nathan GerbeCAR1713:400:481:2151
John ScottBUF1511:490:471:4022
Jiri TlustyCAR1711:420:411:1653
Andrei LoktionovCAR1211:170:561:2940
Ville LeinoBUF159:490:391:2632
Matt EllisBUF149:090:391:5303
Mike KomisarekCAR118:040:441:2321
Zenon KonopkaBUF217:550:230:54315
Radek DvorakCAR85:220:401:2310
Drayson BowmanCAR74:550:421:2310
Alexander SulzerBUF21:230:421:0610