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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 24, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65123+3429:350.1861.6%+47.6
Marc MethotD · #3000+2027:210.0056.1%0.0
Jared CowenD · #20000325:000.0348.7%0.0
Eric GrybaD · #620000221:470.0561.5%0.0
Milan MichalekLW · #9011+1319:250.2252.5%+18.9
Clarke MacArthurLW · #16000+1319:110.3056.4%0.0
Cody CeciD · #5000−1218:590.0934.0%0.0
Kyle TurrisC · #7101+1218:470.2065.0%+16.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19101+1618:430.4546.7%+18.9
Zack SmithC · #15000+1017:090.0368.4%0.0
Ales HemskyRW · #83000+1015:250.0250.2%0.0
Colin GreeningC · #14011+1115:020.1072.1%+12.7
Mark StoneRW · #61011+1015:010.0765.5%+16.0
Chris NeilRW · #25000+1012:440.0066.7%0.0
Erik CondraRW · #22000−1111:510.0441.7%0.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #93000−1310:180.1241.3%0.0
Mike HoffmanC · #68000−129:170.1439.3%0.0
Chris PhillipsD · #4000003:020.0041.3%0.0
Robin Lehner#40W38353.9213.51+0.564:44

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Valtteri FilppulaC · #510110224:510.1648.6%+15.7
Victor HedmanD · #77101−1524:190.2044.5%+15.7
Ryan CallahanRW · #240110223:240.3144.4%+26.1
Ondrej PalatLW · #180220222:580.4244.4%+41.8
Matt CarleD · #25000−2222:510.0334.9%0.0
Steven StamkosC · #91101−1622:320.5736.1%+26.1
Sami SaloD · #6000−1421:500.1439.2%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2000+1218:350.0967.2%0.0
Teddy PurcellLW · #16000−1218:290.3040.5%0.0
Michael KostkaD · #21000+1217:290.0259.7%0.0
Alex KillornLW · #17000−1017:230.1143.4%0.0
Radko GudasD · #7000−2017:040.0337.9%0.0
Tyler JohnsonC · #90110315:510.6350.9%+13.8
Nate ThompsonC · #44000−1010:130.1351.0%0.0
Tom PyattLW · #11000019:520.1263.0%0.0
JT BrownRW · #23011−119:050.0637.4%+13.8
Ryan MaloneLW · #12000018:580.0363.0%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #86101−138:410.1940.8%+13.8
Ben Bishop#30O32293.9062.05−1.064:35