Mon, Mar 24, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
66%
8%
19%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 29:35 | 0.18 | 61.6% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 27:21 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:00 | 0.03 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.05 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.22 | 52.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.30 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.09 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.20 | 65.0% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:43 | 0.45 | 46.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.03 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.02 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.10 | 72.1% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.07 | 65.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.04 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:18 | 0.12 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.14 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.51 | +0.5 | 64:44 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:51 | 0.16 | 48.6% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:19 | 0.20 | 44.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:24 | 0.31 | 44.4% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.42 | 44.4% | +41.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.03 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 22:32 | 0.57 | 36.1% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:50 | 0.14 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.09 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.30 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.02 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.11 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.63 | 50.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.13 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.12 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.06 | 37.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.03 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 8:41 | 0.19 | 40.8% | +13.8 |
| O | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.05 | −1.0 | 64:35 |