Mon, Mar 24, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
66%
8%
19%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacArthur–Turris–Stone | Spezza–Hemsky–Michalek | Neil–Greening–Smith | Condra–Hoffman–Zibanejad | Methot–Karlsson | Gryba–Cowen | Karlsson–Cowen | Methot–Ceci | Phillips–Ceci | Cowen–Ceci | Methot–Gryba | Gryba–Karlsson | Karlsson–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Callahan–Palat | 2:440.04–0.05 | 4:210.09–0.05 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.09 | 6:130.13–0.07 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 1:360.00–0.03 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.09 | |||
| Purcell–Killorn–Stamkos | 5:420.13–0.38 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:020.00–0.14 | 2:350.00–0.20 | 6:310.20–0.35 | 1:150.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Malone–Thompson–Pyatt | 1:060.01–0.00 | 3:050.18–0.20 | 3:110.09–0.00 | 2:360.14–0.03 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:440.07–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.06 | 0:540.02–0.09 | ||||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Brown | 0:570.06–0.05 | 1:130.20–0.27 | 1:260.00–0.01 | 2:150.07–0.04 | 2:200.11–0.28 | 2:340.02–0.01 | 1:240.13–0.05 | 0:360.07–0.00 | |||||
| Carle–Gudas | 2:580.04–0.26 | 1:510.04–0.07 | 1:120.00–0.10 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 4:380.08–0.20 | 1:150.00–0.13 | 0:580.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Salo–Carle | 4:190.24–0.38 | 5:010.25–0.31 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Kostka | 0:380.07–0.00 | 1:270.05–0.06 | 2:410.07–0.01 | 1:280.07–0.07 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:240.07–0.01 | 1:430.14–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.06 | 0:410.02–0.07 | ||||
| Kostka–Hedman | 2:260.07–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.11 | 1:480.01–0.00 | 1:540.02–0.13 | 1:420.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 1:520.00–0.15 | 1:310.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.13 | 2:180.14–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Brewer–Gudas | 0:480.06–0.03 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:530.11–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Salo–Brewer | 0:560.02–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:460.05–0.02 | 0:440.05–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Carle | 0:340.09–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 0:340.09–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 31 | 29:35 | 0:57 | 3:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 30 | 27:21 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 30 | 25:00 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 4 | 7 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 27 | 24:51 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 6 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 24:19 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 6 | 5 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 27 | 23:24 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 7 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 28 | 22:58 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 5 | 5 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 32 | 22:51 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 22:32 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 8 | 2 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 27 | 21:50 | 0:49 | 2:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 25 | 21:47 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 1 | 6 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 28 | 19:25 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 6 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 24 | 19:11 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 18:59 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 5 | 5 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 18:47 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 23 | 18:43 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 2:33 | 1 | 6 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 22 | 18:29 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael KostkaTBL | 20 | 17:29 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 0 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 17:23 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 25 | 17:09 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 22 | 17:04 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 15:51 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 2 | 6 |
 Ales HemskyOTT | 23 | 15:25 | 0:40 | 1:46 | 5 | 1 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 23 | 15:02 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 18 | 15:01 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 17 | 12:44 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 18 | 11:51 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 1 | 6 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 18 | 10:18 | 0:34 | 1:00 | 4 | 3 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 10:13 | 0:32 | 0:56 | 5 | 5 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 14 | 9:52 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 13 | 9:17 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 JT BrownTBL | 16 | 9:05 | 0:34 | 0:54 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 14 | 8:58 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 13 | 8:41 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 5 | 3:02 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |