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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 29, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Legwand–Neil–CondraMichalek–Greening–ZibanejadMacArthur–Turris–ChiassonHoffman–Stone–LazarMacArthur–Turris–StoneNeil–Greening–ZibanejadMichalek–Hoffman–LazarPhillips–KarlssonCowen–CeciGryba–WierciochKarlsson–WierciochPhillips–GrybaWiercioch–Ceci
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos0:400.00–0.015:230.26–0.252:410.17–0.001:230.00–0.026:090.23–0.181:440.11–0.032:240.11–0.040:400.00–0.00
Filppula–Connolly–Drouin4:570.07–0.012:410.31–0.191:100.00–0.000:590.09–0.001:170.05–0.003:470.26–0.195:190.15–0.010:420.10–0.030:430.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:120.03–0.003:270.00–0.072:380.29–0.021:300.00–0.303:060.03–0.071:320.16–0.022:240.08–0.001:410.13–0.300:570.00–0.00
Morrow–Boyle–Paquette4:100.11–0.041:250.00–0.032:290.00–0.230:440.00–0.001:180.00–0.004:100.13–0.192:540.00–0.100:530.00–0.02
Killorn–Stamkos–Connolly1:060.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Garrison–Sustr6:280.17–0.041:080.00–0.003:080.11–0.002:530.05–0.180:310.00–0.003:460.00–0.009:210.43–0.200:570.00–0.06
Carle–Gudas2:380.03–0.013:120.08–0.261:550.04–0.072:250.20–0.001:490.12–0.300:440.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:590.11–0.262:230.34–0.016:130.12–0.072:260.00–0.330:570.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman1:570.01–0.015:250.41–0.192:590.06–0.001:250.00–0.020:440.05–0.009:000.37–0.181:160.00–0.031:590.13–0.010:490.00–0.00
Carle–Stralman0:320.00–0.001:000.13–0.080:320.00–0.080:590.13–0.07
Hedman–Gudas1:180.08–0.020:400.03–0.00
Stralman–Garrison0:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndConnolly FDrouin FFilppula FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FMorrow FBoyle FPaquette FGarrison DSustr DHedman DStralman DCarle DGudas DBishop GLegwand FCondra FNeil FMichalek FGreening FZibanejad FTurris FMacArthur FChiasson FLazar FStone FHoffman FCowen DCeci DPhillips DKarlsson DWiercioch DGryba DLehner G
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2223:541:052:3234
Chris PhillipsOTT2321:550:571:4425
Cody CeciOTT2521:340:521:4323
Jason GarrisonTBL2320:350:542:1156
Anton StralmanTBL2320:340:541:1861
Jared CowenOTT2420:280:511:2613
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2320:010:522:0263
Victor HedmanTBL2419:550:501:2981
Matt CarleTBL2118:300:532:0033
Alex KillornTBL2118:290:531:2761
Brett ConnollyTBL2118:240:531:1851
Steven StamkosTBL2118:170:521:2890
David LegwandOTT2417:590:452:0515
Ryan CallahanTBL2117:300:501:2080
Radko GudasTBL1816:360:551:4902
Andrej SustrTBL1916:340:522:0335
Mika ZibanejadOTT2116:110:461:2501
Erik CondraOTT2215:420:431:2225
Tyler JohnsonTBL2015:320:471:3524
Kyle TurrisOTT2015:280:462:0134
Nikita KucherovTBL1915:220:491:3031
Eric GrybaOTT2215:210:421:2823
Milan MichalekOTT2114:570:431:1312
Patrick WierciochOTT2014:510:451:3821
Mark StoneOTT2014:450:441:5323
Ondrej PalatTBL2014:440:442:0023
Colin GreeningOTT2014:270:431:0701
Chris NeilOTT1814:160:481:1932
Jonathan DrouinTBL1914:140:451:2331
Alex ChiassonOTT2213:520:381:0933
Clarke MacArthurOTT1913:120:421:5333
Curtis LazarOTT1711:420:411:1233
Mike HoffmanOTT1611:270:431:1033
Cedric PaquetteTBL1410:580:471:1222
Brian BoyleTBL1410:500:461:0723
Brenden MorrowTBL1410:240:451:0421