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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Tlusty–SkinnerMcClement–Dwyer–MaloneGerbe–Nash–LindholmTerry–Boychuk–RaskTerry–Skinner–RaskLiles–GleasonSekera–FaulkHainsey–JordanHainsey–GleasonSekera–JordanHainsey–Faulk
Filppula–Callahan–Stamkos3:480.48–0.021:350.05–0.124:210.35–0.041:080.11–0.001:380.09–0.007:510.86–0.211:170.06–0.001:440.04–0.051:340.02–0.12
Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov5:130.01–0.040:450.14–0.001:430.00–0.031:590.01–0.004:450.15–0.082:060.00–0.062:410.00–0.000:480.08–0.001:130.01–0.00
Connolly–Paquette–Drouin3:090.19–0.001:020.00–0.003:060.00–0.080:380.00–0.032:530.00–0.091:220.12–0.003:200.08–0.020:370.02–0.00
Morrow–Boyle–Brown1:150.16–0.002:280.00–0.011:050.00–0.001:140.03–0.023:060.17–0.040:390.00–0.001:580.03–0.01
Garrison–Sustr5:220.10–0.001:030.00–0.002:130.15–0.002:120.03–0.004:260.01–0.044:110.18–0.094:020.10–0.000:420.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman2:380.54–0.023:230.27–0.152:480.21–0.041:490.12–0.000:310.00–0.034:180.33–0.085:140.68–0.062:110.08–0.030:360.04–0.001:090.00–0.12
Carle–Gudas1:530.00–0.043:410.06–0.002:140.00–0.061:470.04–0.043:380.06–0.072:020.12–0.122:220.00–0.001:040.02–0.00
Hedman–Sustr1:300.00–0.020:400.03–0.021:050.00–0.020:590.00–0.05
Stralman–Garrison0:310.01–0.000:520.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:310.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FKillorn FKucherov FCallahan FFilppula FStamkos FPaquette FConnolly FDrouin FMorrow FBrown FBoyle FGarrison DSustr DStralman DHedman DGudas DCarle DNabokov GStaal FTlusty FSkinner FGerbe FLindholm FNash FTerry FBoychuk FRask FMalone FDwyer FMcClement FSekera DFaulk DGleason DLiles DHainsey DJordan DWard G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2323:551:022:0028
Justin FaulkCAR2823:390:512:1663
Anton StralmanTBL2622:320:521:3329
Andrej SekeraCAR3022:260:452:0253
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2320:410:541:2034
Andrej SustrTBL2220:140:551:3501
Jason GarrisonTBL2319:490:522:0601
John-Michael LilesCAR2618:450:431:1833
Ryan CallahanTBL2018:260:551:2336
Ron HainseyCAR2418:250:461:3934
Jeff SkinnerCAR2518:230:441:1845
Tim GleasonCAR2618:190:421:1805
Eric StaalCAR2417:540:451:1844
Steven StamkosTBL2117:450:511:1735
Nathan GerbeCAR2417:180:431:2045
Tyler JohnsonTBL2317:100:451:2091
Jiri TlustyCAR2317:090:451:0833
Riley NashCAR2216:460:462:0634
Alex KillornTBL2216:170:441:2092
Matt CarleTBL2015:420:471:5533
Elias LindholmCAR2215:390:432:0654
Victor RaskCAR1915:180:481:2832
Radko GudasTBL2015:020:451:5534
Nikita KucherovTBL2014:490:441:2080
Michal JordanCAR2014:330:441:2213
Cedric PaquetteTBL1914:180:451:1214
Patrick DwyerCAR1813:400:461:1361
Jay McClementCAR1513:110:531:2451
Brad MaloneCAR1312:210:571:1150
Brian BoyleTBL2012:110:371:3414
Jonathan DrouinTBL1611:510:441:2421
Brett ConnollyTBL1511:430:471:0221
Zach BoychukCAR1510:380:431:1422
Chris TerryCAR1310:340:491:3201
JT BrownTBL1610:120:381:0410
Brenden MorrowTBL137:380:351:0510