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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2014·Gila River Arena, Glendale

Nashville Predators 5, Arizona Coyotes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

ARI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Smith
  3. P1 2:14Shot by Rieder, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:18Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 3:40Weber: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Hanzal, Yandle, Gagner, Stone · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith

  6. P1 4:11Goal by Vermette (Boedker, Yandle)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Yandle, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Jarnkrok, Jones

  7. P1 4:17Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 4:58Ekman-Larsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Michalek, Hanzal, Ekman-Larsson · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Weber, Josi, Smith

  9. P1 6:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Smith4v5
  10. P1 6:57Goal by Fisher (Weber, Forsberg)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Michalek, Vitale, Stone, Rieder · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  11. P1 8:53Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:06Vermette: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Doan, Vermette, Yandle, Boedker, Stone · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Wilson, Jarnkrok, Jones

  13. P1 9:18Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Smith4v5
  14. P1 9:48Shot by Jones, saved by Smith4v5
  15. P1 9:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith4v5
  16. P1 10:03Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith4v5
  17. P1 11:04Shot by Fisher, saved by Smith4v5
  18. P1 11:06Goal by Neal (Fisher, Josi)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Moss, Korpikoski, Schlemko, Murphy · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  19. P1 11:38Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 12:28Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 12:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  22. P1 17:55Shot by Moss, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 18:13Shot by Forsberg, saved by Smith
  24. P1 18:30Goal by Ellis (Neal, Ribeiro)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Korpikoski, Yandle, Gagner, Rieder, Murphy · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg

  25. P1 18:44Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  26. P1 19:34Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Smith
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:27Shot by Moss, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 0:35Shot by Cullen, saved by Smith
  31. P2 3:12Shot by Bourque, saved by Smith
  32. P2 5:54Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Smith
  33. P2 6:16Shot by Fisher, saved by Smith
  34. P2 6:33Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:19Shot by Neal, saved by Smith
  36. P2 8:56Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  37. P2 10:22Shot by Vitale, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 11:01Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 12:10Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 12:25Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 13:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Smith
  42. P2 13:58Shot by Rieder, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 14:48Shot by Jones, saved by Smith
  44. P2 16:34Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 16:47Shot by Stone, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 16:53Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  47. P2 18:53Volchenkov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Michalek, Hanzal, Ekman-Larsson · NSH Volchenkov, Roy, Nystrom, Bourque, Jones

  48. P2 18:52Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 19:03Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne5v4
  50. P2 19:49Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Rinne5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:46Shot by Doan, saved by Rinne5v4
  54. P3 0:57Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 2:22Shot by Schlemko, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 2:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Smith
  57. P3 2:43Goal by Jarnkrok (Bourque, Forsberg)+7 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Korpikoski, Yandle, Gagner, Stone, Rieder · NSH Wilson, Ekholm, Bourque, Jarnkrok, Jones

  58. P3 3:24Shot by Chipchura, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 4:08Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Smith
  60. P3 5:16Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 5:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith
  62. P3 6:48Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  63. P3 6:58Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  64. P3 7:08Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  65. P3 7:20Goal by Jokinen (Wilson, Weber)+2 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Hanzal, Yandle, Stone · NSH Jokinen, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Jarnkrok

  66. P3 7:46Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith
  67. P3 8:21Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 9:26Shot by Murphy, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 10:28Ellis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Michalek, Hanzal, Ekman-Larsson · NSH Jokinen, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  70. P3 12:04Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne5v4
  71. P3 14:16Hanzal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Erat, Moss, Hanzal, Yandle, Stone · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  72. P3 14:44Stone: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Vermette, Michalek, Korpikoski, Stone · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  73. P3 15:30Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith3v5
  74. P3 16:06Shot by Weber, saved by Smith3v5
  75. P3 16:13Shot by Weber, saved by Smith3v5
  76. P3 16:48Shot by Bourque, saved by Smith
  77. P3 17:09Vitale: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Michalek, Chipchura, Vitale, Murphy, Martinook · NSH Volchenkov, Roy, Nystrom, Bourque, Jones

  78. P3 17:16Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Smith4v5
  79. P3 19:16Shot by Bourque, saved by Smith
  80. P3 19:22Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 19:32Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  82. P3 19:52Shot by Doan, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 19:59Shot by Yandle, saved by Rinne
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final