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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2015·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 1, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 4:00Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 4:08Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 5:32Shot by Hunwick, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 5:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 6:44Shot by Staal, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 7:23Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:55Shot by Stafford, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:02Shot by Benoit, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 8:32Meszaros: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Klein, Stempniak, Hunwick, Miller · BUF McCormick, Benoit, Stafford, Meszaros, Deslauriers

  12. P1 8:32Shot by Stempniak, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  13. P1 8:46Goal by Brassard (St. Louis, Boyle)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Stepan · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  14. P1 8:46Hodgson: Abusive language (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Stepan · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  15. P1 9:53Goal by Kreider (Miller, McDonagh)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller · BUF McCormick, Gorges, Flynn, Ristolainen

  16. P1 9:53McCormick: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller · BUF McCormick, Gorges, Flynn, Ristolainen

  17. P1 11:18Goal by Nash (St. Louis, Brassard)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Stepan · BUF Gorges, Kaleta, Flynn, Zadorov

  18. P1 12:34Goal by Boyle (Nash, Zuccarello)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Nash, Staal, Brassard, Zuccarello · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  19. P1 13:15Kreider: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Klein, Hunwick, Stepan, Kreider · BUF McCormick, Gorges, Stafford, Flynn, Ristolainen

  20. P1 13:15McCormick: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Klein, Hunwick, Stepan, Kreider · BUF McCormick, Gorges, Stafford, Flynn, Ristolainen

  21. P1 13:15Kreider: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Klein, Hunwick, Stepan, Kreider · BUF McCormick, Gorges, Stafford, Flynn, Ristolainen

  22. P1 13:38Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  23. P1 14:06Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  24. P1 15:04Shot by Meszaros, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  25. P1 15:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  26. P1 15:50Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P1 17:35Shot by Hayes, saved by Enroth
  28. P1 19:01Shot by Klein, saved by Enroth
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Enroth
  32. P2 1:52Shot by Hagelin, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 2:26Goal by Hagelin (Hunwick, Klein)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Hunwick, Hagelin, Hayes, Fast · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  34. P2 2:48Goal by Stafford (Benoit)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Stempniak, Girardi, McDonagh, Miller · BUF McCormick, Benoit, Stafford, Meszaros, Flynn

  35. P2 3:29Shot by Klein, saved by Enroth
  36. P2 3:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 4:22Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 4:38Shot by McCormick, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 4:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 5:05Shot by Flynn, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 5:47Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 6:36Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Enroth
  43. P2 6:45Shot by St. Louis, saved by Enroth
  44. P2 7:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 9:13Shot by Miller, saved by Enroth
  46. P2 12:18Weber: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Klein, Hunwick, Brassard, Hagelin, Hayes, Fast · BUF Kaleta, Weber, Deslauriers, Larsson, Zadorov

  47. P2 12:24Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth5v4
  48. P2 12:35Shot by Nash, saved by Enroth5v4
  49. P2 12:49Shot by Brassard, saved by Enroth5v4
  50. P2 12:56Shot by Nash, saved by Enroth5v4
  51. P2 13:33Shot by Kreider, saved by Enroth5v4
  52. P2 13:46Shot by McDonagh, saved by Enroth5v4
  53. P2 13:57Shot by McDonagh, saved by Enroth5v4
  54. P2 14:16Shot by Girardi, saved by Enroth5v4
  55. P2 15:00Goal by Fast (Hayes)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Hagelin, Hayes, Fast · BUF Gorges, Moulson, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  56. P2 17:51Shot by St. Louis, saved by Enroth
  57. P2 18:07Shot by Hagelin, saved by Enroth
  58. P2 19:41Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:32Shot by Hunwick, saved by Enroth
  62. P3 2:25Stempniak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Nash, Stempniak, Girardi, McDonagh · BUF Gorges, Kaleta, Deslauriers, Larsson, Ristolainen

  63. P3 3:45Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  64. P3 4:05Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  65. P3 5:35Shot by Hunwick, saved by Enroth
  66. P3 8:21Shot by Kreider, saved by Enroth
  67. P3 9:15Hagelin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Hunwick, Hagelin, Hayes, Fast · BUF Weber, Stewart, Flynn, Grigorenko, Ristolainen

  68. P3 9:20Shot by Stafford, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  69. P3 9:22Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  70. P3 13:00Shot by Stempniak, saved by Enroth
  71. P3 13:42Shot by Hagelin, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 14:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 15:04Shot by Miller, saved by Enroth
  74. P3 15:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 16:13Shot by Flynn, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 16:58Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth
  77. P3 18:08Shot by Hunwick, saved by Enroth
  78. P3 19:34Shot by Moore, saved by Enroth
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final