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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2015·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 1, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Ennis–GirgensonsStewart–Hodgson–GrigorenkoMcCormick–Stafford–FlynnKaleta–Deslauriers–LarssonStewart–Flynn–GrigorenkoMcCormick–Stewart–FlynnGorges–RistolainenWeber–ZadorovBenoit–MeszarosWeber–Ristolainen
Nash–Brassard–Zuccarello5:010.27–0.042:330.09–0.032:050.00–0.001:180.01–0.005:220.28–0.022:430.07–0.052:160.02–0.00
St. Louis–Stepan–Kreider2:250.06–0.131:510.27–0.034:030.21–0.570:350.00–0.004:390.00–0.343:050.02–0.441:040.06–0.000:300.27–0.00
Hagelin–Hayes–Fast1:520.14–0.051:470.16–0.001:150.01–0.002:170.04–0.010:470.00–0.000:360.03–0.002:230.16–0.063:530.16–0.001:460.02–0.000:340.00–0.00
Moore–Stempniak–Miller0:590.00–0.152:310.39–0.000:470.07–0.143:020.11–0.181:380.07–0.001:350.10–0.005:190.48–0.47
St. Louis–Hagelin–Stepan0:440.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Stempniak–Hagelin–Hayes0:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Klein–Hunwick0:460.00–0.022:550.31–0.003:180.02–0.153:580.07–0.190:480.00–0.000:420.03–0.004:370.04–0.214:540.36–0.002:430.12–0.200:460.00–0.00
Boyle–Staal3:360.09–0.183:430.58–0.031:510.09–0.441:300.00–0.004:560.07–0.213:520.10–0.442:550.33–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh4:100.37–0.001:430.13–0.002:280.00–0.202:240.11–0.003:470.27–0.002:430.10–0.084:300.07–0.12
Klein–Staal1:180.13–0.021:240.04–0.030:450.00–0.001:130.14–0.002:040.04–0.05
Boyle–Hunwick0:490.06–0.000:530.19–0.110:440.00–0.000:420.00–0.111:290.06–0.00
Boyle–McDonagh0:550.00–0.190:320.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrassard FZuccarello FNash FStepan FKreider FSt. Louis FHayes FFast FHagelin FStempniak FMiller FMoore FGirardi DMcDonagh DStaal DBoyle DKlein DHunwick DLundqvist GMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FGrigorenko FHodgson FStewart FFlynn FMcCormick FStafford FLarsson FDeslauriers FKaleta FGorges DRistolainen DWeber DZadorov DBenoit DMeszaros DNeuvirth GEnroth G
NYRBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2923:270:492:3426
Nikita ZadorovBUF2622:010:511:3343
Josh GorgesBUF3021:540:441:1626
Kevin KleinNYR2421:150:532:1656
Dan BoyleNYR2221:120:582:1741
Ryan McDonaghNYR2620:060:461:5936
Mike WeberBUF2419:090:481:4532
Drew StaffordBUF2218:550:522:0325
Marc StaalNYR2118:500:542:1614
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2418:330:462:0364
Derek StepanNYR2218:220:501:5242
Matt HunwickNYR2017:490:532:1752
Dan GirardiNYR2617:330:411:0936
Rick NashNYR2317:310:461:2525
Tyler EnnisBUF2117:280:502:0352
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2116:580:481:3025
Andrej MeszarosBUF2316:230:432:2932
Brian FlynnBUF2316:080:421:4514
Derick BrassardNYR2016:030:481:2524
Matt MoulsonBUF2015:580:482:0342
Martin St. LouisNYR1815:550:531:4441
Chris StewartBUF1915:060:481:1521
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF1814:540:501:1511
Carl HagelinNYR2114:490:421:2952
Jesper FastNYR1913:390:432:4061
Cody McCormickBUF2013:380:411:0125
J.T. MillerNYR2013:370:411:1723
Andre BenoitBUF2213:320:371:1441
Dominic MooreNYR1913:250:421:1815
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1813:120:441:2013
Chris KreiderNYR1612:590:491:3731
Kevin HayesNYR1812:530:431:1551
Cody HodgsonBUF1712:360:441:2011
Johan LarssonBUF1411:230:491:1312
Lee StempniakNYR1711:190:401:1713
Patrick KaletaBUF1610:570:410:5413