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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hodgson–Deslauriers–GrigorenkoMoulson–Ennis–GirgensonsStewart–Varone–FlynnMcCormick–Kaleta–SchallerGorges–MyersStrachan–WeberRistolainen–ZadorovStrachan–ZadorovWeber–Ristolainen
Staal–Staal–Lindholm2:030.00–0.283:490.04–0.020:320.03–0.000:570.00–0.013:000.00–0.022:270.03–0.282:480.17–0.01
McClement–Dwyer–Malone2:040.22–0.050:510.00–0.002:070.33–0.091:390.00–0.001:440.23–0.091:250.00–0.052:270.29–0.001:070.03–0.00
Semin–Nash–Skinner1:290.16–0.021:120.19–0.001:560.00–0.052:200.19–0.042:280.00–0.041:060.16–0.00
Gerbe–Tlusty–Nash1:150.00–0.001:170.08–0.001:220.00–0.220:400.00–0.001:190.00–0.002:180.11–0.101:020.55–0.22
Gerbe–Tlusty–Rask0:480.00–0.001:100.11–0.002:530.03–0.012:060.11–0.002:000.03–0.010:550.00–0.00
Semin–Skinner–Rask2:290.13–0.011:120.00–0.003:020.10–0.010:500.17–0.000:430.00–0.02
Sekera–Faulk3:130.00–0.025:470.50–0.021:490.07–0.226:450.55–0.021:510.00–0.104:170.04–0.24
Hainsey–Liles3:220.01–0.061:000.00–0.005:250.44–0.134:470.01–0.134:250.23–0.022:160.30–0.04
Gleason–Murphy2:450.36–0.051:100.00–0.001:280.03–0.003:200.00–0.062:190.22–0.025:250.06–0.082:250.27–0.01
Hainsey–Murphy0:410.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:160.00–0.020:590.00–0.00
Liles–Gleason0:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Liles–Murphy0:410.00–0.280:400.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:340.00–0.28
Hainsey–Gleason0:380.08–0.000:450.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGerbe FTlusty FRask FNash FSemin FSkinner FStaal FStaal FLindholm FMcClement FMalone FDwyer FLiles DHainsey DFaulk DSekera DGleason DMurphy DWard GFlynn FStewart FVarone FGirgensons FMoulson FEnnis FHodgson FGrigorenko FDeslauriers FSchaller FMcCormick FKaleta FWeber DStrachan DGorges DMyers DZadorov DRistolainen DEnroth G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyler MyersBUF3024:380:491:3089
Josh GorgesBUF3023:150:471:3059
Ron HainseyCAR2922:450:471:3236
Justin FaulkCAR2621:010:491:5825
Mike WeberBUF2719:100:431:1202
Tyler EnnisBUF2119:050:551:2143
Andrej SekeraCAR2718:490:421:4326
Tyson StrachanBUF2918:450:391:1213
Ryan MurphyCAR2218:380:511:2440
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2218:220:501:2145
Tim GleasonCAR2518:200:441:2414
John-Michael LilesCAR2717:510:401:2263
Rasmus RistolainenBUF1917:390:561:5333
Nathan GerbeCAR2717:340:391:1055
Nikita ZadorovBUF2217:080:471:4933
Matt MoulsonBUF2016:540:511:3543
Riley NashCAR2716:270:371:1125
Brian FlynnBUF2216:010:441:2140
Jordan StaalCAR2315:510:411:2051
Victor RaskCAR1915:260:491:5862
Phil VaroneBUF2115:190:441:1540
Alexander SeminCAR1714:580:531:3632
Chris StewartBUF2114:580:431:1540
Elias LindholmCAR2214:290:401:1561
Patrick DwyerCAR2314:260:381:2016
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF2014:210:431:1423
Eric StaalCAR1814:170:481:4051
Jiri TlustyCAR2013:540:421:1353
Jeff SkinnerCAR1913:500:441:3072
Jay McClementCAR2213:490:381:0417
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1713:130:471:1433
Cody HodgsonBUF1813:100:441:1433
Cody McCormickBUF1711:480:421:1814
Patrick KaletaBUF1710:560:391:1815
Brad MaloneCAR159:360:381:2013
Tim SchallerBUF159:200:371:0913