Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 3, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Santorelli, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 1:29Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 1:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 3:20Weber: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · TOR Lupul, Winnik, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri

  7. P1 5:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 5:53Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 6:15Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 8:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 8:05Shot by Rielly, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 9:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 9:48Shot by Clarkson, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 10:52Neal: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · TOR Booth, Santorelli, Polak, Bozak, Panik, Rielly

  15. P1 11:52Goal by Jones, unassisted4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Jones · TOR Lupul, Clarkson, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri

  16. P1 12:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hutton4v5
  17. P1 13:11Shot by Ekholm, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 13:26Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier6v5
  19. P1 13:42Kessel: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Weber, Neal, Wilson · TOR Santorelli, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Panik, Rielly

  20. P1 14:04Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier5v4
  21. P1 15:31Goal by Weber (Forsberg, Fisher)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · TOR Polak, Winnik, Holzer, Panik

  22. P1 18:18Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:52Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 2:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 2:27Shot by Booth, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 3:44Shot by Bartley, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 5:28Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 6:33Shot by Polak, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 7:49Goal by Winnik (Santorelli, Lupul)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg · TOR Lupul, Santorelli, Winnik, Franson, Gardiner

  32. P2 8:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 8:44Shot by Bartley, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 11:37Shot by Holland, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 11:58Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 13:01Shot by Booth, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 13:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 14:04Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 14:07Shot by Franson, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 14:08Gaustad: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · TOR Booth, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik

  41. P2 14:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hutton4v5
  42. P2 16:26Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 18:08Shot by Clarkson, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 18:37Shot by Clarkson, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 18:52Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 18:52Holzer: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Bourque, Jarnkrok · TOR Robidas, Lupul, Santorelli, Winnik, Holzer

  47. P2 19:22Shot by Fisher, saved by Reimer5v4
  48. P2 19:41Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:18Shot by Booth, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 2:19Goal by Kadri (Booth, Franson)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Beck · TOR Booth, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik

  53. P3 2:56Goal by Santorelli (Lupul, Rielly)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Volchenkov, Ekholm, Bourque, Jarnkrok · TOR Lupul, Santorelli, Polak, Winnik, Rielly

  54. P3 3:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 4:15Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 6:18Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 6:34Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 6:55Goal by Fisher (Wilson, Josi)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones · TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak

  59. P3 7:44Shot by Booth, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 8:56Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 9:03Shot by Bartley, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 11:01Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 11:16Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 11:18Goal by Wilson (Fisher, Neal)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Volchenkov, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm · TOR Booth, Polak, Kadri, Panik, Rielly

  65. P3 12:06Shot by Gaustad, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 12:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 14:28Fisher: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Volchenkov, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm · TOR Robidas, Lupul, Santorelli, Winnik, Rielly

  68. P3 16:08Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutton4v5
  69. P3 16:40Lupul: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi · TOR Lupul, Santorelli, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri

  70. P3 16:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Hutton5v4
  71. P3 18:01Shot by Neal, saved by Bernier5v4
  72. P3 18:59Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton5v6
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final