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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 3, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakClarkson–Komarov–HollandBooth–Kadri–PanikLupul–Santorelli–WinnikLupul–Winnik–KadriBooth–Santorelli–PanikBooth–Holland–PanikLupul–Clarkson–KadriKessel–van Riemsdyk–KadriFranson–GardinerPolak–RiellyRobidas–HolzerPolak–Holzer
Cullen–Bourque–Jarnkrok2:410.16–0.112:090.00–0.032:360.17–0.080:460.00–0.000:490.00–0.003:190.05–0.114:150.15–0.101:530.14–0.00
Fisher–Neal–Wilson1:020.15–0.002:450.13–0.081:360.50–0.051:380.02–0.000:540.02–0.064:330.29–0.081:430.52–0.052:210.06–0.06
Ribeiro–Smith–Forsberg1:210.10–0.002:310.03–0.141:170.07–0.062:040.00–0.220:450.02–0.002:570.00–0.331:440.08–0.024:040.15–0.07
Gaustad–Nystrom–Beck6:090.05–0.140:310.00–0.002:410.00–0.573:350.02–0.090:390.02–0.03
Ribeiro–Neal–Wilson1:020.00–0.080:430.04–0.08
Fisher–Neal–Forsberg0:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Weber–Josi8:070.09–0.171:020.07–0.002:280.03–0.130:580.18–0.001:480.00–0.107:090.02–0.243:440.06–0.143:100.29–0.001:060.02–0.20
Volchenkov–Ekholm0:310.00–0.003:020.27–0.242:320.50–0.052:010.00–0.081:070.00–0.050:490.00–0.000:310.03–0.004:180.13–0.165:250.67–0.261:140.02–0.00
Bartley–Jones3:280.04–0.082:310.00–0.042:440.08–0.000:510.02–0.060:590.00–0.083:240.05–0.163:290.04–0.104:010.06–0.060:340.00–0.00
Weber–Jones0:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FNystrom FGaustad FBeck FFisher FNeal FWilson FCullen FJarnkrok FBourque FEkholm DVolchenkov DWeber DJosi DJones DBartley DHutton GLupul FWinnik FKadri Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FHolland FKomarov FClarkson FPanik FBooth FSantorelli FFranson DGardiner DRielly DPolak DRobidas DHolzer DBernier GReimer G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2727:021:002:3026
Shea WeberNSH2926:300:551:3137
Cody FransonTOR2823:580:511:5841
Morgan RiellyTOR2623:070:531:5024
Seth JonesNSH2520:240:491:2352
Roman PolakTOR2620:190:471:4318
Jake GardinerTOR2320:090:531:2820
Mattias EkholmNSH2719:330:431:4466
Nazem KadriTOR2319:010:501:4413
James van RiemsdykTOR2318:520:491:50121
Phil KesselTOR2218:310:511:45121
Mike FisherNSH2518:290:442:1145
Tyler BozakTOR2517:110:411:20114
Mike RibeiroNSH2216:260:451:4643
James NealNSH1916:120:511:4652
Filip ForsbergNSH2215:300:421:3041
Joffrey LupulTOR2315:190:401:1723
Daniel WinnikTOR2315:060:391:2416
Stephane RobidasTOR2114:590:431:4043
Korbinian HolzerTOR2114:560:431:2742
Colin WilsonNSH1714:400:521:4641
Gabriel BourqueNSH1914:310:461:2332
Anton VolchenkovNSH2113:450:391:2344
Craig SmithNSH2213:370:371:1753
Calle JarnkrokNSH1913:360:431:1833
Eric NystromNSH2213:220:361:2719
Paul GaustadNSH2213:100:361:3419
Mike SantorelliTOR2213:090:361:2533
Victor BartleyNSH1613:070:491:1731
David BoothTOR2013:040:390:5953
Matt CullenNSH1813:020:431:1832
Peter HollandTOR1512:500:511:2743
Richard PanikTOR2012:450:381:1233
Leo KomarovTOR1511:530:481:2724
David ClarksonTOR1410:130:441:2713
Taylor BeckNSH159:260:381:1514