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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 22, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:42Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:44Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 5:29Shot by Everberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:30Shot by Mitchell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 6:04Shot by Filppula, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Boyle, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 10:43Shot by Cliche, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:53Goal by Palat (Johnson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  12. P1 11:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 16:21Goal by MacKinnon (Landeskog)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  14. P1 16:50Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 17:50Talbot: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Talbot, Redmond, Duchene, Elliott · TBL Filppula, Hedman, Connolly, Paquette, Sustr

  16. P1 18:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 19:05Shot by Landeskog, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  18. P1 19:59Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:29Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  22. P2 1:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  23. P2 2:22Shot by Holden, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  24. P2 3:10Goal by MacKinnon (O'Reilly, Barrie)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Barberio, Palat

  25. P2 3:39Goal by Duchene, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Stuart, Talbot, Redmond, Duchene · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov

  26. P2 4:15Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 5:15Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 5:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 5:51Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Killorn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, Duchene, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Nesterov, Kucherov

  30. P2 6:45Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 6:58Shot by Paquette, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 7:34Shot by Everberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 8:03Redmond: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Mitchell, Redmond, Elliott, Everberg · TBL Morrow, Filppula, Stralman, Barberio, Paquette

  34. P2 8:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov4v5
  35. P2 8:42Shot by Filppula, saved by Varlamov4v5
  36. P2 9:41Shot by Cliche, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  37. P2 12:50Goal by MacKinnon (O'Reilly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  38. P2 15:12Barrie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Stuart, Talbot, Duchene, Barrie · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Barberio, Palat, Kucherov

  39. P2 15:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  40. P2 16:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov4v5
  41. P2 17:47Guenin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, Mitchell, McLeod, Barrie · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Hedman, Nesterov, Drouin

  42. P2 17:47Morrow: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Stuart, Guenin, Mitchell, McLeod, Barrie · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Hedman, Nesterov, Drouin

  43. P2 18:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 18:34Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 18:34Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 19:38Shot by Nesterov, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 3:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 3:54Shot by Mitchell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 4:21Shot by Holden, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 4:22Shot by Landeskog, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 4:59Shot by Elliott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 7:20Goal by Tanguay (Everberg)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Mitchell, Barrie, Everberg · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio

  55. P3 11:18Boyle: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL McLeod, Cliche, Carey, Redmond, Elliott · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Garrison, Sustr, Drouin

  56. P3 11:18McLeod: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL McLeod, Cliche, Carey, Redmond, Elliott · TBL Morrow, Boyle, Garrison, Sustr, Drouin

  57. P3 11:43Goal by Connolly (Filppula, Paquette)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Talbot, Redmond, Duchene, Elliott · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Connolly, Paquette, Sustr

  58. P3 12:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 16:01Shot by Garrison, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 16:54Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 18:58Goal by Kucherov (Johnson, Hedman)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Holden, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin

  62. P3 19:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov5v6
  63. P3 19:31Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov5v6
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final