Sun, Feb 22, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
COL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:47 | 0.05 | 71.1% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.05 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.14 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 19:59 | 0.75 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.44 | 66.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 19:27 | 0.22 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.08 | 79.4% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.02 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.21 | 69.2% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:35 | 0.80 | 60.8% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.31 | 71.5% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.01 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.02 | 72.9% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.14 | 81.3% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:23 | 0.08 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 13 | 5 | .722 | 1.84 | −3.2 | 58:10 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.16 | 34.5% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:14 | 0.05 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.03 | 38.7% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.20 | 10.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.38 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.19 | 47.1% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.24 | 31.6% | +52.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.41 | 33.0% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.09 | 49.2% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.02 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:56 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:59 | 0.05 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.33 | −0.7 | 60:00 |