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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 22, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Callahan–Killorn–StamkosJohnson–Palat–KucherovFilppula–Connolly–PaquetteMorrow–Boyle–DrouinFilppula–Killorn–StamkosStralman–BarberioGarrison–SustrHedman–NesterovHedman–SustrGarrison–NesterovStralman–HedmanStralman–GarrisonBarberio–SustrGarrison–HedmanBarberio–Nesterov
Iginla–Talbot–Duchene7:240.11–0.311:060.00–0.092:430.00–0.120:300.00–0.002:350.00–0.272:270.00–0.122:290.00–0.011:310.00–0.001:390.00–0.051:210.03–0.08
O'Reilly–Landeskog–MacKinnon9:530.51–0.620:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.102:250.03–0.442:470.36–0.150:510.00–0.001:070.01–0.000:310.07–0.100:360.04–0.001:070.00–0.100:520.00–0.001:400.00–0.06
Tanguay–Mitchell–Everberg4:080.60–0.575:390.07–0.092:580.20–0.171:470.03–0.002:270.04–0.001:330.00–0.021:140.40–0.040:410.00–0.430:400.00–0.01
McLeod–Cliche–Carey0:560.02–0.005:030.13–0.072:090.00–0.181:250.02–0.001:020.00–0.001:300.11–0.00
Stuart–Holden1:470.03–0.038:160.49–0.232:400.00–0.041:110.00–0.002:080.03–0.052:400.36–0.021:490.00–0.361:420.00–0.021:200.07–0.141:300.07–0.000:410.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:180.00–0.060:430.00–0.00
Guenin–Barrie7:270.20–0.231:310.02–0.001:380.01–0.021:210.00–0.034:100.20–0.132:110.01–0.153:350.00–0.001:420.01–0.001:040.00–0.010:420.00–0.00
Redmond–Elliott2:160.42–0.004:100.04–0.143:390.03–0.042:570.00–0.063:440.04–0.120:380.00–0.002:210.01–0.000:510.40–0.00
Redmond–Barrie0:400.00–0.000:430.00–0.010:470.00–0.000:400.00–0.01
Stuart–Barrie0:360.04–0.000:320.00–0.100:440.04–0.000:320.00–0.10
Holden–Redmond0:400.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMacKinnon FO'Reilly FLandeskog FDuchene FIginla FTalbot FMitchell FTanguay FEverberg FCarey FCliche FMcLeod FHolden DStuart DBarrie DGuenin DRedmond DElliott DVarlamov GJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FConnolly FPaquette FFilppula FMorrow FBoyle FDrouin FGarrison DStralman DSustr DHedman DBarberio DNesterov DVasilevskiy G
COLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brad StuartCOL2923:350:491:5114
Tyson BarrieCOL2922:570:471:3844
Victor HedmanTBL2722:470:511:5184
Nick HoldenCOL2722:140:491:5142
Jason GarrisonTBL2822:110:481:1865
Nate GueninCOL2720:180:451:2545
Anton StralmanTBL2920:100:421:2541
Steven StamkosTBL2419:590:501:1351
Alex KillornTBL2319:430:511:1062
Ryan CallahanTBL2419:270:492:0561
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2319:210:501:5154
Andrej SustrTBL2119:120:552:0226
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2518:220:441:2227
Zach RedmondCOL2218:120:502:0522
Max TalbotCOL2017:110:521:2832
Nikita KucherovTBL2316:450:441:2842
Ondrej PalatTBL2316:350:431:2343
Matt DucheneCOL1916:310:521:5240
John MitchellCOL2116:110:461:0920
Tyler JohnsonTBL2316:110:421:2353
Alex TanguayCOL2316:040:421:0923
Jarome IginlaCOL1915:560:501:5940
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2015:490:471:2524
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2115:460:451:2224
Mark BarberioTBL2215:320:421:3821
Nikita NesterovTBL2114:290:411:1321
Jonathan DrouinTBL1613:590:521:4940
Dennis EverbergCOL2013:320:411:0911
Cedric PaquetteTBL1813:230:451:1914
Stefan ElliottCOL1712:280:441:1311
Brett ConnollyTBL1812:030:401:0723
Cody McLeodCOL1310:540:501:4113
Brian BoyleTBL1210:230:521:4911
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL139:560:461:0414
Paul CareyCOL107:590:481:0711
Brenden MorrowTBL117:400:421:0610