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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Ottawa Senators 4, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

SJS winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SJS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Michalek–Turris–StoneRyan–Hoffman–ZibanejadCondra–Pageau–PuempelLegwand–Greening–ChiassonMethot–KarlssonGryba–BorowieckiWiercioch–CeciKarlsson–CeciKarlsson–WierciochKarlsson–Borowiecki
Thornton–Pavelski–Hertl1:570.00–0.106:590.35–0.020:470.16–0.007:390.36–0.043:270.01–0.050:420.16–0.040:430.02–0.000:410.09–0.05
Marleau–Couture–Karlsson7:030.51–0.400:580.00–0.010:550.00–0.020:520.00–0.104:340.16–0.123:330.33–0.042:500.05–0.38
Sheppard–Wingels–Nieto2:040.16–0.020:400.00–0.004:360.10–0.330:310.54–0.002:400.00–0.331:350.00–0.004:210.86–0.020:370.10–0.00
Desjardins–McGinn–Goodrow1:500.02–0.104:020.00–0.072:030.02–0.003:010.00–0.001:470.00–0.17
Burns–Vlasic3:560.57–0.026:100.25–0.042:130.00–0.331:530.00–0.058:440.27–0.376:020.31–0.071:430.34–0.050:510.02–0.00
Braun–Dillon6:210.18–0.082:580.10–0.010:520.01–0.002:570.00–0.315:300.11–0.104:350.03–0.193:510.05–0.050:390.19–0.00
Hannan–Irwin1:480.05–0.140:540.00–0.005:240.11–0.041:330.54–0.004:130.16–0.023:030.00–0.024:350.65–0.14
Burns–Braun0:430.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarleau FCouture FKarlsson FHertl FPavelski FThornton FSheppard FWingels FNieto FDesjardins FMcGinn FGoodrow FVlasic DBurns DBraun DDillon DHannan DIrwin DNiemi GTurris FMichalek FStone FHoffman FZibanejad FRyan FLegwand FChiasson FGreening FCondra FPuempel FPageau FMethot DKarlsson DGryba DBorowiecki DCeci DWiercioch DHammond G
SJSOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2928:220:593:1444
Brent BurnsSJS2525:171:011:3244
Marc-Edouard VlasicSJS2723:460:531:3235
Marc MethotOTT2822:340:481:2425
Joe PavelskiSJS2420:050:501:3066
Justin BraunSJS2320:010:521:4811
Mike HoffmanOTT2218:550:521:3553
Milan MichalekOTT2518:430:451:2500
Mark StoneOTT2518:410:451:1900
Brenden DillonSJS2318:330:481:4811
Joe ThorntonSJS2318:180:481:3064
Logan CoutureSJS2617:590:421:5621
Mark BorowieckiOTT2617:570:411:3103
Patrick MarleauSJS2517:540:431:4622
Kyle TurrisOTT2517:460:431:2510
Bobby RyanOTT2217:350:481:2243
Tomas HertlSJS2117:170:491:4932
Mika ZibanejadOTT2117:140:491:2253
Eric GrybaOTT2416:460:421:3104
Cody CeciOTT2216:060:441:1510
Matt IrwinSJS2115:330:441:2802
Scott HannanSJS2015:180:461:5103
Melker KarlssonSJS2215:150:421:2110
Tommy WingelsSJS2215:140:421:0312
Matt NietoSJS1914:250:461:2711
Patrick WierciochOTT2014:090:421:0810
Erik CondraOTT2014:000:421:0325
James SheppardSJS1713:490:491:2201
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2013:230:401:0125
Alex ChiassonOTT1612:300:471:2951
David LegwandOTT1611:280:431:1631
Matt PuempelOTT1610:260:391:0012
Barclay GoodrowSJS1310:110:471:1022
Colin GreeningOTT129:080:461:2431
Tye McGinnSJS118:150:450:5922
Andrew DesjardinsSJS127:590:401:1022