Sun, Mar 1, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Florida Panthers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 56% of the time.
45%
11%
9%
35%
FLA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:40 | 0.09 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.01 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.00 | 67.9% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.02 | 32.4% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:01 | 0.21 | 61.8% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.18 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.16 | 40.7% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:26 | 0.96 | 78.0% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.08 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.11 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.16 | 50.5% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.10 | 76.2% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.19 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.05 | 31.5% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:14 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.01 | −2.0 | 58:29 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.13 | 48.6% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.10 | 32.8% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.01 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.18 | 17.1% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.09 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.60 | 35.6% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.22 | 64.4% | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.02 | 44.0% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.05 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.18 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.47 | 64.2% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.23 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.04 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.14 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.10 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.34 | −0.7 | 59:54 |