Sat, Mar 7, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
10%
28%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 27:07 | 0.00 | 38.1% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.05 | 49.1% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.01 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.02 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:20 | 0.30 | 42.6% | +16.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.21 | 42.5% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:39 | 0.23 | 55.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.16 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.04 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.05 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:57 | 0.13 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.03 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 12:16 | 0.34 | 45.6% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.04 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.04 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.06 | 54.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.04 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.09 | 41.5% | +21.5 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 1.91 | −2.1 | 58:41 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:00 | 0.07 | 83.3% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.11 | 63.0% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.11 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.03 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.21 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.32 | 61.3% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.11 | 74.0% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 38.0% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.11 | 55.2% | +66.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.21 | 49.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.10 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.07 | 51.4% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.05 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.08 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:08 | 0.89 | 65.8% | +2.0 |
| W | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 1.85 | −2.2 | 60:00 |