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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 11, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Rielly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, Kessel, Bozak, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Ennis, Foligno, Varone

  3. P1 1:27Bogosian: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Booth, Sill, Erixon · BUF Bogosian, Hodgson, Ennis, Foligno, Ristolainen

  4. P1 3:32Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback
  5. P1 5:30Shot by Ellis, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 6:52Goal by Larsson (Ennis, Moulson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland, Panik · BUF Strachan, Moulson, Ennis, Larsson, Zadorov

  7. P1 8:58Dalpe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Lupul, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill · BUF Ellis, Dalpe, D'Amigo, Ristolainen, Zadorov

  8. P1 9:20Shot by Schaller, saved by Bernier5v4
  9. P1 10:02Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback5v4
  10. P1 10:28Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback5v4
  11. P1 11:21Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 11:39Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 12:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 12:38Shot by Gionta, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 13:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Lindback
  16. P1 13:51Shot by D'Amigo, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 14:09Goal by Kozun (Lindstrom, MacWilliam)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Sill, Kozun · BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Dalpe, D'Amigo, Ristolainen

  18. P1 14:30Goal by Komarov (Booth, Smith)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Booth, Komarov, Smith, Gardiner · BUF Gionta, Strachan, Foligno, Varone, Zadorov

  19. P1 15:04Shot by Schaller, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 16:02Goal by Ennis (Moulson, Larsson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Ennis, Larsson, Ristolainen

  21. P1 17:08Shot by Holland, saved by Lindback
  22. P1 19:19Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 19:27Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:14Shot by Meszaros, saved by Bernier
  27. P2 6:06Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 6:45Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lindback
  29. P2 8:06Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 8:44Shot by Strachan, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 10:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 10:41Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 11:31Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback
  34. P2 11:50Goal by Moulson (Larsson, Ennis)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Booth, Smith, Rielly · BUF Moulson, Weber, Bogosian, Ennis, Larsson

  35. P2 12:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 13:25Shot by Holland, saved by Lindback
  37. P2 17:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 19:05Shot by Schaller, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier
  42. P3 1:54Shot by Komarov, saved by Lindback
  43. P3 2:09Shot by Komarov, saved by Lindback
  44. P3 2:20Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bernier
  45. P3 2:32Shot by D'Amigo, saved by Bernier
  46. P3 2:42Shot by Holland, saved by Lindback
  47. P3 2:58Hodgson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Holland, Kozun · BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Hodgson, D'Amigo, Ristolainen

  48. P3 3:38Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lindback5v4
  49. P3 3:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lindback5v4
  50. P3 4:37Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback5v4
  51. P3 6:41Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 6:41MacWilliam: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Kessel, MacWilliam, Bozak · BUF Moulson, Meszaros, Ennis, Larsson, Ristolainen

  53. P3 7:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier4v5
  54. P3 7:40Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback4v5
  55. P3 10:10Shot by Meszaros, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 11:03Zadorov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Booth, Komarov, Smith, Gardiner · BUF Gionta, Foligno, Varone, Ristolainen, Zadorov

  57. P3 11:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback5v4
  58. P3 12:08Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback5v4
  59. P3 13:00Shot by Lupul, saved by Lindback5v4
  60. P3 13:34Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback
  61. P3 13:46Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback
  62. P3 14:14Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 15:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback
  64. P3 15:32Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Kessel, Bozak, Panik, Rielly · BUF Ellis, Weber, Bogosian, D'Amigo, Schaller

  65. P3 16:35Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Rielly)5v4+39 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Strachan, Bogosian, Foligno

  66. P3 17:07Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback
  67. P3 17:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback
  68. P3 18:06Shot by Gionta, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 18:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 1:03Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier4v4
  73. OT 1:07Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier4v4
  74. OT 1:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback4v4
  75. OT 1:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Lindback4v4
  76. OT 2:31Shot by Larsson, saved by Bernier4v4
  77. OT 3:23Shot by Komarov, saved by Lindback4v4
  78. OT 3:45Shot by Varone, saved by Bernier4v4
  79. OT 3:46Shot by Varone, saved by Bernier4v4
  80. OT 4:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback4v4
  81. OT 5:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Lindback4v4
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernierother
  85. SO Goal by Bozak, unassistedother
  86. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernierother
  87. SO Shot by Holland, saved by Lindbackother
  88. SO Shot by Gionta, saved by Bernierother
  89. SO Period end
  90. SO Final