Wed, Mar 11, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
48%
10%
9%
34%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Zach BogosianD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 30:53 | 0.26 | 74.2% | 0.0 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:51 | 0.00 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:51 | 0.14 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:27 | 0.10 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.76 | 78.9% | +57.4 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.06 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrej MeszarosD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.05 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 18:08 | 0.40 | 78.5% | +57.4 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.06 | 80.7% | +57.4 |
 Tyson StrachanD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.01 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Phil VaroneC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.22 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Tim SchallerLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.14 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZadorovD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.04 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.01 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Jerry D'AmigoRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.11 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt EllisLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.03 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Zac DalpeC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 Anders Lindback#35 | O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 64:56 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:58 | 0.09 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.13 | 20.3% | +39.3 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:36 | 0.04 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.23 | 18.7% | +39.3 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.56 | 16.7% | +39.3 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.01 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.16 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 18:24 | 0.44 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
 Richard PanikRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.38 | 86.3% | +18.8 |
 Tim ErixonD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 David BoothLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:04 | 0.52 | 77.9% | +18.8 |
 Trevor SmithC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.14 | 77.7% | +18.8 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.06 | 16.4% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MacWilliamD · #57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 52.1% | +17.9 |
 Joakim LindstromC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 25.1% | +17.9 |
 Brandon KozunRW · #67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:08 | 0.04 | 45.4% | +17.9 |
 Zach SillC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.42 | −0.6 | 65:00 |