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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 13, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington

Dallas Stars 4, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.

WSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Horcoff–McKenzie–RitchieBenn–Eakin–SeguinFiddler–Eaves–SceviourSpezza–Hemsky–RousselEaves–Eakin–SeguinBenn–NemethGoligoski–JokipakkaDemers–OleksiakGoligoski–DemersJokipakka–Oleksiak
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Johansson1:540.00–0.003:510.09–0.161:520.00–0.092:020.09–0.130:330.00–0.001:450.00–0.02
Glencross–Brouwer–Kuznetsov1:170.00–0.132:130.38–0.080:540.00–0.001:240.00–0.140:570.42–0.002:050.00–0.110:490.00–0.02
Chimera–Ward–Fehr1:270.10–0.061:580.04–0.021:450.10–0.210:430.04–0.002:040.02–0.09
Laich–Wilson–Burakovsky3:070.00–0.060:360.04–0.002:280.00–0.060:580.04–0.010:440.00–0.00
Ward–Fehr–Johansson0:580.00–0.001:390.00–0.000:480.09–0.001:550.00–0.01
Chimera–Laich–Wilson0:400.00–0.011:240.00–0.101:200.02–0.101:230.00–0.01
Ovechkin–Brouwer–Kuznetsov1:420.03–0.350:460.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:150.07–0.35
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Burakovsky0:310.00–0.031:120.11–0.001:290.17–0.000:350.00–0.06
Glencross–Backstrom–Burakovsky1:180.01–0.000:420.01–0.000:590.00–0.00
Niskanen–Alzner1:430.02–0.066:230.19–0.310:530.00–0.001:520.02–0.004:410.19–0.232:210.00–0.132:540.00–0.060:410.00–0.00
Carlson–Schmidt0:380.00–0.001:510.09–0.062:300.02–0.111:360.00–0.062:090.09–0.081:540.02–0.05
Gleason–Green3:190.00–0.130:340.00–0.000:510.38–0.020:360.00–0.001:230.00–0.071:380.38–0.001:150.00–0.060:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.02
Green–Schmidt2:080.00–0.050:510.05–0.000:300.02–0.002:110.04–0.081:020.08–0.000:310.00–0.00
Niskanen–Carlson0:490.08–0.051:040.11–0.001:400.19–0.000:360.04–0.00
Green–Carlson0:340.03–0.351:120.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:370.07–0.35
Gleason–Carlson0:300.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:590.00–0.06
Green–Alzner1:040.00–0.010:490.00–0.07
Green–Niskanen0:480.00–0.120:590.00–0.12
Gleason–Niskanen0:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FLaich FBurakovsky FWilson FWard FFehr FChimera FGlencross FKuznetsov FBrouwer FNiskanen DAlzner DGleason DGreen DCarlson DSchmidt DHoltby GPeters GBenn FEakin FSeguin FRitchie FHorcoff FMcKenzie FRoussel FHemsky FSpezza FEaves FSceviour FFiddler FJokipakka DGoligoski DBenn DNemeth DDemers DOleksiak DLehtonen G
WSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt NiskanenWSH3326:040:471:2757
Alex GoligoskiDAL3424:280:431:2173
John CarlsonWSH3022:420:451:5664
Jordie BennDAL3322:280:411:5339
Alex OvechkinWSH2122:121:032:5431
Jason DemersDAL3020:480:421:3134
Nicklas BackstromWSH2420:330:511:4124
Tyler SeguinDAL2220:060:551:5521
Jamie BennDAL2819:300:421:3754
Karl AlznerWSH2419:020:482:3646
Troy BrouwerWSH2618:280:431:1458
Patrik NemethDAL2618:260:431:5326
Mike GreenWSH2318:240:482:0023
Cody EakinDAL2717:240:391:3013
Shawn HorcoffDAL2517:150:411:2333
Joel WardWSH2016:520:511:4821
Patrick EavesDAL2116:400:481:4163
Marcus JohanssonWSH1716:330:581:5830
Jyrki JokipakkaDAL2515:410:380:5932
Eric FehrWSH2215:000:411:1323
Jason SpezzaDAL1914:330:461:1762
Vernon FiddlerDAL2513:500:331:0025
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2013:290:401:1423
Antoine RousselDAL2213:280:371:0514
Brett RitchieDAL1913:090:421:2323
Brooks LaichWSH1813:020:431:1223
Nate SchmidtWSH1812:470:431:1922
Tim GleasonWSH2012:430:381:4004
Jamie OleksiakDAL1912:210:391:0811
Jason ChimeraWSH1712:130:431:0633
Curtis McKenzieDAL2011:590:361:0322
Andre BurakovskyWSH1711:550:421:2910
Colton SceviourDAL1911:260:361:0322
Curtis GlencrossWSH2010:490:321:0703
Ales HemskyDAL1810:280:351:0223
Tom WilsonWSH139:260:441:3422