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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 15, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Gerbe–StaalMcClement–Dwyer–MaloneTerry–Nestrasil–RaskSemin–Skinner–LindholmSemin–Staal–SkinnerHainsey–FaulkBellemore–JordanJordan–FaulkLiles–RissanenHainsey–LilesLiles–BellemoreHainsey–Bellemore
Hartnell–Dano–Wennberg1:410.05–0.041:350.00–0.002:500.16–0.001:330.07–0.162:030.06–0.132:100.04–0.041:020.16–0.001:330.00–0.030:490.07–0.001:370.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Boll–Letestu–Tropp4:180.16–0.002:240.00–0.023:330.14–0.021:280.00–0.001:590.02–0.00
Foligno–Atkinson–Johansen4:350.13–0.241:020.00–0.033:130.27–0.160:480.00–0.061:020.00–0.030:470.01–0.09
Dubinsky–Atkinson–Johansen2:350.02–0.220:420.00–0.001:280.05–0.023:540.07–0.190:550.00–0.00
Dubinsky–Bourque–Anisimov1:120.00–0.220:320.00–0.090:320.00–0.002:340.12–0.001:120.00–0.220:380.00–0.092:340.12–0.00
Bourque–Foligno–Anisimov1:240.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:570.04–0.00
Johnson–Savard5:120.02–0.343:060.26–0.002:490.00–0.021:150.00–0.244:220.02–0.482:430.12–0.021:060.00–0.002:040.06–0.032:020.09–0.061:040.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Prout–Connauton2:550.06–0.263:070.02–0.091:590.05–0.002:060.13–0.000:360.00–0.003:500.22–0.142:460.06–0.131:470.11–0.001:190.03–0.000:310.07–0.011:290.01–0.001:280.01–0.09
Tyutin–Murray2:310.00–0.123:330.03–0.033:000.16–0.111:510.07–0.003:030.05–0.182:560.00–0.002:140.18–0.001:020.00–0.001:510.03–0.001:020.00–0.030:400.00–0.20
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAtkinson FDubinsky FJohansen FWennberg FHartnell FDano FAnisimov FBourque FFoligno FTropp FBoll FLetestu FMurray DTyutin DConnauton DProut DJohnson DSavard DBobrovsky GStaal FStaal FGerbe FNestrasil FTerry FRask FMcClement FDwyer FSemin FLindholm FSkinner FMalone FFaulk DHainsey DJordan DBellemore DLiles DRissanen DKhudobin G
CBJCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3029:571:001:4827
Ron HainseyCAR2926:110:542:2713
Jack JohnsonCBJ2622:530:531:2113
David SavardCBJ2622:160:511:2103
Eric StaalCAR2322:110:581:5465
Ryan JohansenCBJ2321:450:572:3736
Jordan StaalCAR2620:470:481:1753
John-Michael LilesCAR2719:150:431:2050
Alexander WennbergCBJ2518:430:451:2955
Fedor TyutinCBJ2418:170:461:3936
Ryan MurrayCBJ2318:160:481:2935
Kevin ConnautonCBJ1917:480:562:0344
Dalton ProutCBJ2217:440:481:1736
Brandon DubinskyCBJ2217:350:481:1316
Nick FolignoCBJ2217:280:481:5142
Victor RaskCAR2216:400:451:2253
Andrej NestrasilCAR1916:340:521:3963
Scott HartnellCBJ2016:290:491:2953
Brett BellemoreCAR2316:220:432:1432
Michal JordanCAR2215:480:431:4453
Nathan GerbeCAR2015:390:471:5625
Jay McClementCAR2015:130:461:2623
Artem AnisimovCBJ2215:000:411:0934
Cam AtkinsonCBJ1914:150:451:2224
Patrick DwyerCAR1914:030:441:1232
Elias LindholmCAR1813:520:461:3941
Marko DanoCBJ1713:440:481:1532
Brad MaloneCAR1511:590:481:2030
Mark LetestuCBJ1511:580:481:3002
Chris TerryCAR1511:420:471:2051
Jeff SkinnerCAR1711:360:411:3741
Alexander SeminCAR1610:230:391:1531
Rene BourqueCBJ169:590:371:0922
Corey TroppCBJ118:170:451:0800
Jared BollCBJ97:430:511:0300
Rasmus RissanenCAR84:560:371:1220