Sat, Mar 21, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.
70%
14%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:00 | 0.05 | 26.4% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:12 | 0.46 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:02 | 0.18 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:39 | 0.23 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.02 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:29 | 0.04 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.08 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.13 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.02 | 27.8% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.09 | 46.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.06 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.01 | 55.9% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:43 | 0.02 | 80.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:56 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:16 | 0.10 | 62.5% | +13.2 |
| – | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.16 | −1.8 | 23:09 | |
| L | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 1.34 | +0.3 | 36:25 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 28:20 | 0.21 | 62.1% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.03 | 71.3% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:36 | 0.59 | 47.2% | +2.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 21:02 | 0.80 | 57.0% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.04 | 49.6% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.15 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:59 | 0.23 | 38.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17:13 | 0.29 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.03 | 55.8% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.29 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.09 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.09 | 70.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 73.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.11 | 54.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.01 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:56 | 0.10 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:09 | 0.00 | 34.5% | +13.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.51 | −1.5 | 59:58 |