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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 21, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakLupul–Booth–SmithKomarov–Sill–PanikLindstrom–Kozun–CarrickKessel–Smith–van RiemsdykGardiner–RiellyBrewer–PhaneufMacWilliam–ErixonBrewer–GardinerBrewer–MacWilliamGardiner–Erixon
Condra–Pageau–Lazar4:460.25–0.153:340.06–0.001:230.02–0.050:510.00–0.004:400.18–0.200:570.05–0.005:090.22–0.00
Legwand–Hoffman–Chiasson1:230.06–0.002:000.00–0.142:370.00–0.041:170.00–0.100:490.06–0.00
Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad0:400.08–0.010:500.02–0.000:400.05–0.001:100.00–0.011:590.07–0.00
Ryan–Zibanejad–Puempel0:440.00–0.002:020.05–0.031:480.00–0.01
Michalek–Turris–Stone2:270.00–0.040:490.00–0.002:070.00–0.03
Turris–Chiasson–Stone1:420.13–0.000:410.00–0.010:520.00–0.001:130.13–0.00
Condra–Turris–Stone2:150.17–0.000:410.00–0.001:440.17–0.00
Ryan–Turris–Stone0:420.01–0.000:350.01–0.00
Legwand–Turris–Stone0:330.03–0.000:450.00–0.001:090.03–0.00
Legwand–Ryan–Zibanejad0:510.02–0.001:060.02–0.00
Methot–Karlsson7:420.23–0.184:180.21–0.010:520.00–0.011:440.00–0.045:410.00–0.176:030.25–0.002:300.15–0.02
Wiercioch–Ceci1:430.00–0.132:410.02–0.022:440.08–0.091:090.00–0.001:110.18–0.004:000.00–0.222:270.07–0.003:540.17–0.02
Gryba–Borowiecki2:530.25–0.112:140.01–0.031:260.00–0.001:120.00–0.101:090.00–0.004:320.18–0.192:350.00–0.110:380.08–0.00
Methot–Ceci3:180.19–0.000:520.03–0.000:320.00–0.063:520.19–0.060:450.03–0.00
Gryba–Wiercioch0:320.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTurris FMichalek FStone FRyan FPuempel FZibanejad FLazar FPageau FCondra FLegwand FHoffman FChiasson FMethot DKarlsson DCeci DWiercioch DGryba DBorowiecki DHammond Gvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FLupul FBooth FSmith FPanik FSill FKomarov FLindstrom FCarrick FKozun FBrewer DPhaneuf DGardiner DRielly DErixon DMacWilliam DReimer GBernier G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2528:201:082:0791
Dion PhaneufTOR2724:000:531:44210
Marc MethotOTT2523:480:571:4271
James van RiemsdykTOR2423:120:581:3434
Phil KesselTOR2423:020:581:3135
Tyler BozakTOR2622:390:521:3836
Mark StoneOTT2422:360:571:3390
Eric BrewerTOR2522:100:532:0815
Trevor SmithTOR2421:290:541:48110
Kyle TurrisOTT2321:020:551:3881
Jake GardinerTOR2620:200:471:3925
Morgan RiellyTOR2519:200:462:2245
Patrick WierciochOTT2418:510:471:5232
Andrew MacWilliamTOR2618:350:431:2816
Cody CeciOTT2418:330:461:4252
Mike HoffmanOTT2117:590:511:4741
David BoothTOR2317:430:461:2216
Bobby RyanOTT2317:130:451:1352
Mika ZibanejadOTT2116:330:471:3831
Erik CondraOTT2216:320:451:5943
David LegwandOTT1916:090:511:2132
Tim ErixonTOR2315:350:411:0712
Curtis LazarOTT2315:140:401:1222
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2214:400:401:0633
Alex ChiassonOTT1713:400:481:1520
Mark BorowieckiOTT1913:260:421:3312
Leo KomarovTOR2213:120:361:11110
Joffrey LupulTOR1512:490:511:2014
Eric GrybaOTT1712:210:441:3612
Richard PanikTOR1710:260:371:2014
Zach SillTOR128:080:411:1303
Sam CarrickTOR116:430:371:1911
Milan MichalekOTT55:561:111:3330
Brandon KozunTOR115:560:321:0821
Joakim LindstromTOR105:160:321:0720
Matt PuempelOTT75:090:441:0021