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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Minnesota Wild

2

Final

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Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Parise, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 2:38Coyle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Sill, Panik, Rielly · MIN Leopold, Vanek, Coyle, Fontaine, Dumba

  4. P1 2:43Rielly: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · MIN Brodziak, Scandella, Spurgeon, Haula

  5. P1 4:19Shot by Fontaine, saved by Bernier4v4
  6. P1 4:48Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 5:29Shot by Stewart, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 5:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Dumba, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 8:57Shot by Carrick, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 9:23Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 9:43Shot by Bozak, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 11:26Shot by Booth, saved by Dubnyk
  14. P1 13:24Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 13:47Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 14:07Shot by Booth, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 14:23Shot by Scandella, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 15:27Shot by Dumba, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 18:54Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 18:58Goal by Coyle (Vanek)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Booth, Smith, MacWilliam, Erixon · MIN Leopold, Vanek, Coyle, Fontaine, Dumba

  21. P1 19:29Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 19:55Shot by Granlund, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:04Kessel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · MIN Koivu, Suter, Stewart, Niederreiter, Brodin

  26. P2 0:12Shot by Suter, saved by Bernier4v5
  27. P2 1:13Shot by Booth, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  28. P2 1:55Shot by Panik, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  29. P2 2:11Shot by Vanek, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 4:10Shot by Carrick, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  31. P2 4:10Leopold: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Komarov, Sill, Panik, Carrick · MIN Leopold, Bergenheim, Brodziak, Haula, Dumba

  32. P2 5:46Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  33. P2 5:54Shot by Panik, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  34. P2 6:11Shot by Sill, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 6:24Shot by Fontaine, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 6:27Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 6:59Shot by Koivu, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 7:23Shot by Parise, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 7:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 8:17Shot by Brodin, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 9:08Shot by Pominville, saved by Bernier5v6
  42. P2 9:09van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Panik, Rielly · MIN Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Suter, Haula, Fontaine

  43. P2 9:22Shot by Suter, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 10:50Shot by Brodin, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 11:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 11:54Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 12:48Shot by Suter, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 13:36Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 14:03Shot by Koivu, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 16:03Vanek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · MIN Pominville, Vanek, Scandella, Spurgeon, Granlund

  51. P2 16:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  52. P2 16:54Phaneuf: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · MIN Suter, Brodziak, Granlund, Brodin

  53. P2 16:54Brodziak: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · MIN Suter, Brodziak, Granlund, Brodin

  54. P2 17:45Haula: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly · MIN Scandella, Spurgeon, Haula, Fontaine

  55. P2 19:53Shot by Lupul, saved by Dubnyk
  56. P2 19:47Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P2 19:58Shot by Panik, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 0:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 1:23Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 3:08Shot by Sill, saved by Dubnyk
  64. P3 3:13Shot by Gardiner, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 5:39Shot by Parise, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 6:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 8:19Shot by Carrick, saved by Dubnyk
  68. P3 9:08Goal by Vanek (Suter, Fontaine)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Panik · MIN Vanek, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Fontaine

  69. P3 9:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 11:04Shot by Parise, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 12:11Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 13:34Shot by Lupul, saved by Dubnyk
  73. P3 13:36Goal by Gardiner (Lupul)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Booth, Gardiner, Carrick, Rielly · MIN Leopold, Bergenheim, Brodziak, Haula, Dumba

  74. P3 13:42Shot by Suter, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 14:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk
  76. P3 15:19Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Dubnyk
  77. P3 15:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Dubnyk
  78. P3 15:23Shot by Bozak, saved by Dubnyk
  79. P3 16:56Shot by Booth, saved by Dubnyk
  80. P3 17:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Dubnyk
  81. P3 17:50Shot by Lupul, saved by Dubnyk
  82. P3 0:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final