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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Minnesota Wild

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Ryan SuterD · #20011+1428:380.1146.2%+15.4
Jonas BrodinD · #250000227:360.0644.8%0.0
Jared SpurgeonD · #46000+1221:080.1226.0%0.0
Mikko KoivuC · #90000218:490.1259.1%0.0
Marco ScandellaD · #60000118:210.0219.2%0.0
Zach PariseLW · #110000417:530.2957.2%0.0
Mikael GranlundC · #640000116:480.0773.1%0.0
Chris StewartRW · #440000115:440.0665.4%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #220000415:420.1723.7%0.0
Jason PominvilleRW · #290000214:500.0761.2%0.0
Mathew DumbaD · #550000214:200.1141.6%0.0
Erik HaulaLW · #56000−1013:160.007.5%0.0
Charlie CoyleC · #3101+2113:000.1931.6%+18.5
Thomas VanekLW · #26112+2312:530.1844.6%+34.0
Kyle BrodziakC · #21000−1012:150.0016.4%0.0
Justin FontaineRW · #14011+2211:560.1918.9%+15.4
Jordan LeopoldD · #33000009:550.0035.9%0.0
Sean BergenheimLW · #23000−118:590.0310.1%0.0
Devan Dubnyk#40W36351.9723.14+2.159:52

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51101+1224:410.4375.4%+12.7
Dion PhaneufD · #3000−1123:180.2262.8%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2000−1022:540.0073.1%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1322:230.0768.1%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000−1222:150.0266.4%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42000−1422:130.5473.1%0.0
Phil KesselRW · #810000621:290.1874.5%0.0
Trevor SmithC · #23000−1216:030.4965.0%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #18000−1315:450.2375.0%0.0
Joffrey LupulLW · #190110315:020.2771.2%+12.7
Tim ErixonD · #33000−1014:540.0065.8%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470000012:330.0045.8%0.0
Andrew MacWilliamD · #57000−1012:150.0236.0%0.0
David BoothLW · #200000411:590.3356.2%0.0
Zach SillC · #220000211:020.0950.4%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #53000+139:530.2267.9%0.0
Brandon KozunRW · #67000008:240.0054.7%0.0
Joakim LindstromC · #15000018:150.0260.0%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45L32302.9381.80−0.258:42