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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Koivu–Stewart–NiederreiterPominville–Parise–GranlundVanek–Coyle–FontaineBergenheim–Brodziak–HaulaSuter–BrodinScandella–SpurgeonLeopold–DumbaSpurgeon–BrodinSuter–Dumba
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak4:250.22–0.043:020.00–0.072:050.53–0.021:570.12–0.006:180.27–0.066:050.53–0.071:060.08–0.08
Komarov–Sill–Panik2:470.00–0.071:030.00–0.003:040.08–0.002:240.00–0.011:450.00–0.002:210.08–0.070:450.00–0.04
Lupul–Booth–Smith2:190.00–0.101:570.02–0.112:130.02–0.223:140.01–0.102:380.02–0.13
Lindstrom–Kozun–Carrick4:020.18–0.063:070.06–0.020:390.02–0.001:390.16–0.07
Lupul–Booth–Carrick0:310.00–0.00
Brewer–Phaneuf7:350.15–0.170:550.05–0.001:100.05–0.092:300.11–0.026:540.21–0.153:390.06–0.042:570.10–0.10
Gardiner–Rielly1:030.00–0.046:200.09–0.203:270.02–0.041:100.46–0.004:360.00–0.045:350.07–0.122:000.52–0.060:360.00–0.000:510.00–0.04
MacWilliam–Erixon0:400.00–0.000:510.00–0.042:060.00–0.193:420.09–0.033:010.06–0.022:080.01–0.041:080.00–0.21
Brewer–Gardiner0:440.05–0.001:130.08–0.000:590.05–0.001:220.08–0.00
Erixon–Rielly0:480.01–0.001:150.01–0.00
Gardiner–MacWilliam0:470.02–0.02
Phaneuf–Gardiner
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3Endvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FSmith FLupul FBooth FPanik FKomarov FSill FLindstrom FCarrick FKozun FBrewer DPhaneuf DRielly DGardiner DMacWilliam DErixon DBernier GKoivu FNiederreiter FStewart FGranlund FParise FPominville FVanek FCoyle FFontaine FBrodziak FHaula FBergenheim FSuter DBrodin DScandella DSpurgeon DLeopold DDumba DDubnyk G
TORMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN3228:380:542:0564
Jonas BrodinMIN3327:360:501:3354
Jake GardinerTOR2624:410:572:0345
Dion PhaneufTOR2523:180:561:5023
Eric BrewerTOR3022:540:461:4314
Morgan RiellyTOR2522:230:542:3964
James van RiemsdykTOR2522:150:532:0964
Tyler BozakTOR2522:130:532:0353
Phil KesselTOR2421:290:542:0953
Jared SpurgeonMIN2921:080:441:3753
Mikko KoivuMIN2318:490:491:4475
Marco ScandellaMIN2818:210:391:1554
Zach PariseMIN2117:530:511:4161
Mikael GranlundMIN2116:480:481:3832
Trevor SmithTOR2216:030:441:34210
Richard PanikTOR1915:450:501:1916
Chris StewartMIN1715:440:561:5651
Nino NiederreiterMIN1915:420:501:1960
Joffrey LupulTOR1915:020:471:3025
Tim ErixonTOR1814:540:501:2913
Jason PominvilleMIN1914:500:471:4950
Mathew DumbaMIN1914:200:451:3560
Erik HaulaMIN1913:160:421:2304
Charlie CoyleMIN1713:000:461:2761
Thomas VanekMIN1712:530:451:2560
Leo KomarovTOR1912:330:401:1326
Andrew MacWilliamTOR1612:150:461:0302
Kyle BrodziakMIN1512:150:491:2303
David BoothTOR1511:590:481:4124
Justin FontaineMIN1911:560:381:1361
Zach SillTOR1511:020:441:1313
Jordan LeopoldMIN199:550:311:1650
Sam CarrickTOR129:530:492:0111
Sean BergenheimMIN128:590:451:2300
Brandon KozunTOR118:240:461:1501
Joakim LindstromTOR118:150:451:2901