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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 23, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

San Jose Sharks 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 72% of the time.

OTT winsSJS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Thornton–Pavelski–KarlssonMarleau–Couture–HertlMarleau–Hertl–TierneyScott–Smith–GoodrowCouture–Wingels–NietoWingels–Nieto–TierneyVlasic–BraunBurns–IrwinDillon–MuellerBurns–MuellerVlasic–Mueller
Condra–Pageau–Lazar1:240.14–0.003:050.19–0.015:390.41–0.191:460.20–0.050:540.08–0.164:080.06–0.253:280.35–0.113:420.49–0.050:420.14–0.00
Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad2:280.00–0.122:200.08–0.040:480.00–0.003:420.30–0.181:420.15–0.003:440.18–0.052:140.11–0.275:300.25–0.04
Turris–Chiasson–Stone8:150.43–0.371:300.01–0.231:030.00–0.007:420.34–0.391:530.19–0.001:260.01–0.00
Legwand–Greening–Smith0:480.00–0.000:410.01–0.104:550.04–0.040:360.00–0.002:020.03–0.005:360.05–0.131:540.00–0.06
Ryan–Turris–Stone0:360.03–0.00
Methot–Karlsson7:390.16–0.374:210.15–0.132:150.15–0.021:280.03–0.020:340.03–0.001:290.15–0.007:370.24–0.365:300.27–0.164:400.17–0.06
Gryba–Borowiecki2:410.00–0.121:060.08–0.024:420.27–0.192:100.01–0.070:410.22–0.041:150.04–0.005:420.08–0.093:170.25–0.264:110.22–0.080:420.14–0.00
Wiercioch–Ceci2:440.18–0.012:140.00–0.232:440.21–0.003:320.33–0.140:400.00–0.003:490.28–0.074:440.04–0.134:060.23–0.000:370.00–0.20
Karlsson–Wiercioch1:030.08–0.000:300.03–0.160:300.03–0.160:430.00–0.00
Methot–Ceci0:370.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Ceci0:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTurris FStone FChiasson FRyan FZibanejad FHoffman FLazar FPageau FCondra FSmith FLegwand FGreening FMethot DKarlsson DWiercioch DCeci DBorowiecki DGryba DHammond GPavelski FThornton FKarlsson FCouture FWingels FNieto FMarleau FHertl FTierney FScott FGoodrow FSmith FVlasic DBraun DDillon DMueller DIrwin DBurns DNiemi G
OTTSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2625:410:591:5214
Marc-Edouard VlasicSJS2924:060:501:4531
Marc MethotOTT2624:000:551:5314
Justin BraunSJS3121:560:421:4031
Brent BurnsSJS2420:120:511:4941
Joe PavelskiSJS2918:570:391:2181
Mirco MuellerSJS2418:370:471:2432
Brenden DillonSJS2418:330:461:1333
Melker KarlssonSJS2718:260:411:1461
Patrick WierciochOTT2218:230:501:5011
Tomas HertlSJS2418:120:461:0723
Cody CeciOTT2118:080:521:1701
Patrick MarleauSJS2617:510:411:0445
Bobby RyanOTT2317:130:451:2842
Kyle TurrisOTT2117:130:491:1503
Joe ThorntonSJS2617:080:401:1672
Mark StoneOTT2116:480:481:0904
Mark BorowieckiOTT2116:390:481:5013
Logan CoutureSJS2516:390:401:0842
Mike HoffmanOTT2316:240:431:4232
Matt IrwinSJS1816:210:551:4930
Mika ZibanejadOTT2216:140:441:2232
Eric GrybaOTT2116:110:461:4513
Curtis LazarOTT2016:070:481:3110
Erik CondraOTT1915:490:501:3333
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1915:130:481:2222
Chris TierneySJS2115:110:431:0421
Alex ChiassonOTT2014:010:421:0613
Matt NietoSJS2313:200:351:0030
David LegwandOTT1713:180:471:4833
Tommy WingelsSJS2412:290:311:0520
Ben SmithSJS1512:040:481:0211
Colin GreeningOTT1511:200:451:4422
Zack SmithOTT1411:000:471:4822
Barclay GoodrowSJS1310:350:491:1010
John ScottSJS118:250:460:5910