Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
65%
9%
18%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 30:22 | 0.05 | 63.9% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:26 | 0.22 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.02 | 27.1% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.14 | 30.1% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.06 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.04 | 25.5% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.07 | 28.7% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.12 | 21.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:50 | 0.07 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.10 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.01 | 34.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:18 | 0.30 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.15 | 44.8% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.03 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.14 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.84 | −1.2 | 63:17 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:12 | 0.06 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:10 | 0.03 | 63.3% | +45.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.03 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.31 | 39.0% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.17 | 51.7% | +75.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.47 | 49.8% | +122.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:26 | 0.33 | 49.3% | +77.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.16 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.15 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.21 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.15 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.05 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:41 | 0.59 | 89.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.02 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.04 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.02 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.06 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.58 | −1.4 | 62:14 |