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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65011−1130:220.0563.9%+15.2
Marc MethotD · #30000228:260.2261.9%0.0
Erik CondraRW · #22011+1019:030.0227.1%+16.0
Mark StoneRW · #61101−1318:100.1430.1%+19.4
Mark BorowieckiD · #740000018:030.0344.9%0.0
Eric GrybaD · #620000217:190.0645.6%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44011+1017:170.0425.5%+16.0
Kyle TurrisC · #7112−1217:030.0728.7%+34.6
Patrick WierciochD · #46000−1016:340.0018.7%0.0
Curtis LazarC · #27101+1116:330.1221.7%+16.0
Cody CeciD · #50000415:500.0715.3%0.0
Bobby RyanRW · #60000115:140.0257.7%0.0
Mike HoffmanC · #68000−1115:020.1064.6%0.0
David LegwandC · #17011−1014:450.0134.7%+15.2
Mika ZibanejadC · #93000−1414:180.3068.0%0.0
Clarke MacArthurLW · #160110112:540.1544.8%+19.4
Zack SmithC · #150000210:390.0332.7%0.0
Alex ChiassonRW · #900000110:170.1451.1%0.0
Craig Anderson#41O31274.8712.84−1.263:17

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #3000+2226:120.0633.3%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1126:100.0363.3%+45.3
Jake GardinerD · #51000−1223:290.0369.4%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2101+2120:570.3139.0%+47.4
James van RiemsdykLW · #21033+1220:360.1751.7%+75.0
Tyler BozakC · #42314+2319:460.4749.8%+122.4
Phil KesselRW · #81033+2519:260.3349.3%+77.0
Nazem KadriC · #43000+1118:230.1641.0%0.0
Joffrey LupulLW · #190000216:480.1539.1%0.0
David BoothLW · #20000−1216:480.2180.3%0.0
Trevor SmithC · #230000016:230.1589.8%0.0
Tim ErixonD · #33000−1115:430.0564.3%0.0
Joakim LindstromC · #150000515:410.5989.9%0.0
TJ BrennanD · #25000−1114:030.0264.3%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470000013:210.0040.7%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #18000−1212:310.0433.9%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #53000−108:560.0229.7%0.0
Zach SillC · #22000018:490.0637.3%0.0
James Reimer#34W25223.8801.58−1.462:14