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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Condra–Pageau–LazarMacArthur–Turris–StoneRyan–Hoffman–ZibanejadLegwand–Smith–HoffmanRyan–Chiasson–ZibanejadLegwand–Smith–ChiassonMethot–KarlssonGryba–BorowieckiWiercioch–CeciKarlsson–WierciochKarlsson–Borowiecki
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak2:180.01–0.005:180.19–0.221:480.00–0.030:310.02–0.166:050.05–0.364:080.17–0.030:540.19–0.02
Lindstrom–Booth–Smith4:200.60–0.003:320.15–0.000:440.00–0.021:310.28–0.004:090.20–0.023:320.11–0.083:110.70–0.000:300.00–0.00
Lupul–Komarov–Kadri0:420.02–0.003:340.08–0.352:360.08–0.022:200.14–0.080:300.00–0.015:310.10–0.321:120.14–0.023:250.08–0.11
Sill–Panik–Carrick4:000.03–0.080:580.02–0.000:380.01–0.010:440.03–0.024:020.08–0.071:340.03–0.031:310.04–0.04
Booth–Smith–Panik0:350.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Lindstrom–Lupul–Kadri0:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly3:470.09–0.008:230.27–0.051:430.01–0.010:570.14–0.020:370.17–0.009:120.26–0.295:100.24–0.032:470.37–0.01
Brewer–Phaneuf2:150.00–0.000:380.09–0.025:140.09–0.140:570.00–0.023:180.02–0.210:360.00–0.017:430.11–0.242:580.09–0.033:230.00–0.130:350.00–0.020:410.01–0.00
Brennan–Erixon4:570.49–0.160:580.08–0.022:360.13–0.142:400.03–0.023:010.05–0.333:450.63–0.04
Brewer–Erixon0:360.07–0.000:360.07–0.000:560.00–0.01
Phaneuf–Rielly0:320.00–0.110:340.00–0.000:360.00–0.110:340.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Erixon0:300.06–0.00
Brewer–Gardiner0:410.00–0.000:520.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPanik FSill FCarrick Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FLupul FKadri FKomarov FLindstrom FSmith FBooth FRielly DGardiner DBrewer DPhaneuf DBrennan DErixon DReimer GCondra FLazar FPageau FTurris FMacArthur FStone FHoffman FRyan FZibanejad FSmith FChiasson FLegwand FMethot DKarlsson DBorowiecki DCeci DWiercioch DGryba DAnderson G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2930:221:031:5014
Marc MethotOTT3028:260:571:5805
Dion PhaneufTOR2726:120:582:3516
Morgan RiellyTOR2926:100:541:5962
Jake GardinerTOR2823:290:501:2344
Eric BrewerTOR2920:570:431:3128
James van RiemsdykTOR2220:360:561:3861
Tyler BozakTOR2319:460:521:2061
Phil KesselTOR2319:260:511:2362
Erik CondraOTT2719:030:421:24110
Nazem KadriTOR2218:230:501:2333
Mark StoneOTT2718:100:401:1324
Mark BorowieckiOTT2418:030:451:1917
Eric GrybaOTT2317:190:451:1927
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2617:170:401:2818
Kyle TurrisOTT2417:030:431:2023
Joffrey LupulTOR2016:480:501:2334
David BoothTOR1916:480:531:3823
Patrick WierciochOTT2316:340:431:2623
Curtis LazarOTT2316:330:431:2816
Trevor SmithTOR1916:230:521:3943
Cody CeciOTT2215:500:431:0625
Tim ErixonTOR2015:430:471:5130
Joakim LindstromTOR1815:410:521:4954
Bobby RyanOTT2115:140:441:1861
Mike HoffmanOTT1815:020:501:5922
David LegwandOTT2314:450:381:0016
Mika ZibanejadOTT2514:180:341:1051
TJ BrennanTOR1914:030:441:1740
Leo KomarovTOR1913:210:421:2324
Clarke MacArthurOTT2012:540:391:2022
Richard PanikTOR1812:310:421:1720
Zack SmithOTT1610:390:400:5502
Alex ChiassonOTT1710:170:361:1631
Sam CarrickTOR148:560:381:2120
Zach SillTOR128:490:441:2120