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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 1, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:05Shot by Brennan, saved by Lindback
  3. P1 3:15Grigorenko: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Strachan, Meszaros, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR Brewer, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak

  4. P1 3:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback4v5
  5. P1 5:04Shot by Lupul, saved by Lindback4v5
  6. P1 5:03Shot by Lupul, saved by Lindback4v5
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 5:34Shot by Benoit, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 6:48Goal by Dalpe (Ellis, Meszaros)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Strachan, Meszaros, Hodgson, Dalpe · TOR Lindstrom, Komarov, Brennan, Gardiner, Kadri

  10. P1 7:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lindback
  12. P1 8:15Larsson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Ennis, Larsson, Zadorov · TOR Lupul, Booth, Smith, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly

  13. P1 8:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback4v5
  14. P1 9:46Shot by Gionta, saved by Bernier4v5
  15. P1 10:21Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 10:27Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 11:15Shot by Meszaros, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 11:34Shot by Benoit, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 14:45Shot by Erixon, saved by Lindback
  20. P1 16:41Goal by Brewer (Kessel, Bozak)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Weber, Bogosian, Dalpe, Deslauriers · TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  21. P1 17:45Shot by Gionta, saved by Bernier6v5
  22. P1 17:52Sill: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Meszaros, Bogosian, Ennis, Larsson · TOR Lindstrom, Komarov, Gardiner, Sill, Rielly

  23. P1 18:37Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bernier5v4
  24. P1 18:57Shot by Meszaros, saved by Bernier5v4
  25. P1 19:08Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier5v4
  26. P1 19:39Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:47Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kessel, Bozak)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  30. P2 1:34Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 3:54Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lindback
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Lindback
  33. P2 5:46Shot by Varone, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 8:08Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 8:34Kadri: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Strachan, Meszaros, Foligno, Grigorenko · TOR Lindstrom, Komarov, Brennan, Erixon, Kadri

  36. P2 9:37Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier5v4
  37. P2 9:50Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P2 10:06Shot by Meszaros, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P2 10:42Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 11:01Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 11:19Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 12:45Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 13:24Goal by Kadri (Panik)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Meszaros, Hodgson, Dalpe, Grigorenko · TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Kadri, Panik

  44. P2 13:54Goal by Hodgson (Benoit, Varone)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Hodgson, Dalpe, Varone, Zadorov · TOR Brewer, Lupul, Phaneuf, Booth, Smith

  45. P2 15:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  46. P2 15:23Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lindback
  47. P2 17:16Shot by Dalpe, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 17:25Shot by Varone, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 18:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 1:05Lindstrom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Moulson, Meszaros, Ennis, Larsson · TOR Lindstrom, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik, Rielly

  54. P3 1:33Goal by Moulson (Larsson, Gionta)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Bogosian, Ennis, Larsson · TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Komarov, Smith

  55. P3 3:14Goal by Ellis (Zadorov, Gionta)+28 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ellis, Benoit, Foligno, Zadorov · TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Booth, Smith, Bailey

  56. P3 3:31Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback
  57. P3 3:39Shot by Sill, saved by Lindback
  58. P3 6:32Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ellis, Weber, Bogosian, Foligno · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Komarov, Gardiner, Panik

  59. P3 8:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback
  60. P3 10:34Brennan: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Weber, Bogosian, Deslauriers · TOR Booth, Komarov, Brennan, Erixon, Panik

  61. P3 11:20Shot by Larsson, saved by Bernier5v4
  62. P3 11:46Shot by Erixon, saved by Lindback5v4
  63. P3 12:16Shot by Booth, saved by Lindback5v4
  64. P3 12:29Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bernier5v4
  65. P3 13:58Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Lindback
  66. P3 15:01Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Weber, Bogosian, Hodgson, Grigorenko · TOR Brewer, Lupul, Komarov, Kessel, Gardiner

  67. P3 17:17Shot by Lupul, saved by Lindback
  68. P3 18:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback5v6
  69. P3 18:40Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lindback5v6
  70. P3 18:41Lindback: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Bogosian, Hodgson, Varone · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly

  71. P3 18:58Shot by Kessel, saved by Lindback4v6
  72. P3 19:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Lindback4v6
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final