Wed, Apr 1, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | Lindstrom–Komarov–Kadri | Lupul–Booth–Smith | Sill–Panik–Bailey | Lindstrom–Kadri–Panik | Lupul–Booth–Komarov | Brewer–Phaneuf | Gardiner–Rielly | Brennan–Erixon | Phaneuf–Gardiner | Phaneuf–Rielly | Brewer–Gardiner | Brewer–Brennan | Erixon–Rielly | Brennan–Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moulson–Ennis–Larsson | 3:280.16–0.12 | 2:430.07–0.03 | 1:080.04–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 3:160.16–0.02 | 4:420.07–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.07 | 0:440.04–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.03 | ||||
| Gionta–Foligno–Grigorenko | 3:370.02–0.25 | 3:140.08–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:410.26–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 5:040.10–0.16 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:470.26–0.01 | 1:530.00–0.14 | ||||||
| Hodgson–Dalpe–Varone | 2:360.00–0.00 | 1:150.33–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:590.17–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.05 | 1:290.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ellis–Kaleta–Deslauriers | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ellis–Hodgson–Dalpe | 0:540.00–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Kaleta–Deslauriers–Varone | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Weber–Bogosian | 8:050.05–0.38 | 1:480.16–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 4:270.05–0.16 | 3:570.00–0.12 | 2:400.03–0.03 | 1:420.13–0.11 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | |||||
| Strachan–Meszaros | 2:340.13–0.03 | 3:150.19–0.00 | 1:410.06–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:080.26–0.08 | 1:530.13–0.21 | 4:360.07–0.05 | 3:190.28–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:410.04–0.00 | |||||
| Benoit–Zadorov | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:360.08–0.17 | 1:220.18–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 5:000.34–0.04 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:450.05–0.13 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.07 | 1:110.05–0.03 | ||||
| Benoit–Bogosian |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach BogosianBUF | 28 | 30:30 | 1:05 | 2:47 | 4 | 5 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 30 | 27:57 | 0:56 | 1:58 | 6 | 8 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 26 | 23:03 | 0:53 | 2:55 | 5 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTOR | 30 | 22:11 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 10 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 19 | 22:07 | 1:10 | 2:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 27 | 21:50 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 4 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 21:47 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 21:13 | 0:58 | 2:27 | 4 | 5 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 19 | 20:13 | 1:04 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 20 | 20:01 | 1:00 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 26 | 19:45 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 2 | 6 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 20 | 19:31 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 22 | 19:28 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 2 | 1 |
 Andre BenoitBUF | 24 | 19:20 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 20 | 19:01 | 0:57 | 2:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 21 | 18:12 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 20 | 16:36 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 1 | 4 |
 Andrej MeszarosBUF | 23 | 16:13 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyson StrachanBUF | 23 | 16:11 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 21 | 16:06 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Tim ErixonTOR | 18 | 14:37 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 1 | 4 |
 Joakim LindstromTOR | 19 | 14:16 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 3 | 2 |
 TJ BrennanTOR | 21 | 14:11 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 15 | 14:03 | 0:56 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 15 | 12:40 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita ZadorovBUF | 16 | 12:30 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Phil VaroneBUF | 12 | 11:41 | 0:58 | 1:35 | 0 | 2 |
 Trevor SmithTOR | 16 | 11:38 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 3 | 7 |
 Richard PanikTOR | 16 | 11:26 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 David BoothTOR | 15 | 11:24 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Zac DalpeBUF | 11 | 9:30 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 0 | 3 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 15 | 8:16 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 16 | 8:14 | 0:31 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Zach SillTOR | 11 | 8:14 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Casey BaileyTOR | 8 | 6:40 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 9 | 5:54 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |