Wed, Apr 1, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:57 | 0.10 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.05 | 40.1% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 22:07 | 0.36 | 70.6% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.03 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.09 | 72.5% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.09 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.32 | 71.4% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.20 | 42.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.03 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.02 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.11 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.07 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:40 | 0.43 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.03 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 28.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.02 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.10 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.73 | −1.3 | 57:54 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 30:30 | 0.13 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.06 | 58.9% | +50.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.75 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.06 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:01 | 0.49 | 43.1% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.02 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.30 | 50.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.05 | 59.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.12 | 66.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.35 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:03 | 0.54 | 72.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 61.0% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.12 | 77.8% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:30 | 0.15 | 72.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.09 | 54.8% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.05 | −1.0 | 59:50 |