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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 5, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Komarov, saved by Hammond
  3. P1 0:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Hammond
  4. P1 0:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammond
  5. P1 0:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammond
  6. P1 1:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 1:11Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 1:53Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 3:05Shot by Brewer, saved by Hammond
  10. P1 3:10Goal by Lupul (Brewer, Komarov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, Phaneuf, Komarov, Holland · OTT Condra, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Pageau, Lazar

  11. P1 3:36Shot by Holland, saved by Hammond
  12. P1 3:58Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 4:40Shot by Legwand, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 5:53Shot by Lazar, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 5:54Shot by Condra, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 6:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammond
  17. P1 7:10Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammond
  18. P1 7:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammond
  19. P1 7:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammond
  20. P1 7:16Shot by Panik, saved by Hammond
  21. P1 7:25Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 8:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 11:24Shot by Holland, saved by Hammond
  24. P1 11:32Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 11:55Shot by Condra, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 12:43Shot by Chiasson, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 13:13Shot by Booth, saved by Hammond
  28. P1 13:19Shot by Booth, saved by Hammond
  29. P1 13:58Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Hammond
  30. P1 14:39Shot by Holland, saved by Hammond
  31. P1 15:48Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, MacWilliam, Bozak, Erixon · OTT Gryba, Condra, Borowiecki, Pageau, Lazar

  32. P1 16:04Shot by Kadri, saved by Hammond5v4
  33. P1 16:31Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Hammond5v4
  34. P1 18:38Shot by Komarov, saved by Hammond
  35. P1 19:42Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammond
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P1 3:08Shot by Brewer, saved by Hammond
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 0:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 1:10Shot by Lazar, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 1:51Panik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lindstrom, Phaneuf, Kadri, Panik · OTT Gryba, Condra, Borowiecki, Pageau, Lazar

  42. P2 2:42Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier4v5
  43. P2 2:50Shot by Turris, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 3:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 3:51Shot by Hoffman, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 4:35Shot by Condra, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 5:28Shot by Gryba, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 7:06MacWilliam: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Komarov, MacWilliam, Erixon, Holland · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Hoffman, Zibanejad, Ceci

  49. P2 7:14Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier4v5
  50. P2 7:15Goal by Karlsson (Turris, Stone)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Booth, Sill · OTT MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone

  51. P2 7:53Shot by Hoffman, saved by Bernier
  52. P2 8:15Kessel: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · OTT MacArthur, Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Zibanejad

  53. P2 8:58Shot by Holland, saved by Hammond4v5
  54. P2 10:53Shot by Condra, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 11:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Hammond
  56. P2 11:09Panik: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · OTT Legwand, Gryba, Smith, Borowiecki, Chiasson

  57. P2 11:09Smith: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Lindstrom, Gardiner, Kadri, Panik, Rielly · OTT Legwand, Gryba, Smith, Borowiecki, Chiasson

  58. P2 12:01Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hammond4v4
  59. P2 12:42Goal by van Riemsdyk (Holland, Brewer)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Holland · OTT MacArthur, Wiercioch, Hoffman, Ceci

  60. P2 15:09Shot by Legwand, saved by Bernier
  61. P2 16:52Shot by Pageau, saved by Bernier
  62. P2 17:26Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bernier
  63. P2 18:27Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Hammond
  64. P2 18:37Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hammond
  65. P2 19:40Panik: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Panik, Rielly · OTT Gryba, Condra, Turris, Borowiecki, Pageau, Lazar

  66. P2 19:57Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier4v5
  67. P2 19:57Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier4v5
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:51Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bernier4v5
  71. P3 1:09Goal by Stone (Turris, MacArthur)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacWilliam, Bozak, Sill, Erixon · OTT MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone

  72. P3 2:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 2:18Shot by Gryba, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 2:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 3:07Holland: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Lupul, van Riemsdyk, MacWilliam, Holland · OTT Methot, Gryba, Turris, Borowiecki, Chiasson

  76. P3 5:08Shot by Methot, saved by Bernier
  77. P3 9:49Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Bernier
  78. P3 10:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Bernier
  79. P3 12:06Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammond
  80. P3 12:23Shot by Sill, saved by Hammond
  81. P3 12:47Shot by Bailey, saved by Hammond
  82. P3 12:55Shot by Sill, saved by Hammond
  83. P3 13:24Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  84. P3 13:25Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  85. P3 13:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernier
  86. P3 14:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bernier
  87. P3 15:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Bernier
  88. P3 16:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammond
  89. P3 17:11Ryan: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brewer, Phaneuf, Booth, Sill, Panik · OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Wiercioch, Zibanejad, Ceci

  90. P3 18:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hammond5v4
  91. P3 19:01Shot by Kadri, saved by Hammond5v4
  92. P3 19:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernier
  93. P3 0:00Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammond
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. OT 0:00Period start
  96. OT 1:24Shot by Holland, saved by Hammond4v4
  97. OT 3:11Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier4v4
  98. OT 3:45Shot by Brewer, saved by Hammond4v4
  99. OT 4:43Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier4v4
  100. OT 5:00Period end
  101. SO Period start
  102. SO Goal by Zibanejad, unassistedother
  103. SO Shot by Bozak, saved by Hammondother
  104. SO Shot by Turris, saved by Bernierother
  105. SO Goal by Lupul, unassistedother
  106. SO Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Hammondother
  107. SO Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernierother
  108. SO Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Hammondother
  109. SO Shot by Hoffman, saved by Bernierother
  110. SO Shot by Kessel, saved by Hammondother
  111. SO Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bernierother
  112. SO Shot by Kadri, saved by Hammondother
  113. SO Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernierother
  114. SO Goal by Holland, unassistedother
  115. SO Period end
  116. SO Final