Sun, Apr 5, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
29%
56%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacArthur–Turris–Stone | Condra–Pageau–Lazar | Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | Legwand–Smith–Chiasson | Ryan–Chiasson–Zibanejad | Methot–Karlsson | Gryba–Borowiecki | Wiercioch–Ceci | Methot–Ceci | Karlsson–Wiercioch | Karlsson–Borowiecki | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 2:410.76–0.11 | 4:330.10–0.32 | 1:360.26–0.32 | 1:360.00–0.10 | 1:360.00–0.12 | 3:250.12–0.35 | 6:090.37–0.37 | 2:300.66–0.27 | 0:430.00–0.01 | ||
| Lindstrom–Kadri–Panik | 3:240.02–0.05 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 2:440.29–0.02 | 2:530.04–0.05 | 2:310.02–0.01 | 2:220.27–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.04 | |||
| Lupul–Komarov–Holland | 2:540.10–0.08 | 2:320.36–0.32 | 1:010.02–0.06 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.23 | 4:250.19–0.07 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 3:500.10–0.67 | 0:380.15–0.02 | ||
| Booth–Sill–Bailey | 2:110.09–0.15 | 1:560.23–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:430.23–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.15 | ||||||
| Booth–Komarov–Sill | 0:310.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.13 | |||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 6:580.23–0.23 | 4:320.18–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:200.02–0.09 | 1:310.00–0.23 | 4:590.22–0.20 | 3:110.02–0.09 | 5:540.21–0.34 | 3:140.00–0.14 | ||
| Brewer–Phaneuf | 4:240.21–0.02 | 1:000.18–0.02 | 5:040.57–0.34 | 1:080.23–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.12 | 6:190.27–0.16 | 4:340.54–0.16 | 3:290.25–0.22 | 1:060.14–0.06 | ||
| MacWilliam–Erixon | 5:020.19–0.76 | 0:370.00–0.06 | 2:440.00–0.01 | 3:100.00–0.24 | 3:580.10–0.12 | 1:040.00–0.52 | 0:550.09–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 29 | 30:25 | 1:03 | 3:10 | 9 | 4 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 29 | 27:06 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 3 | 9 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 25:42 | 0:55 | 1:54 | 4 | 3 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 31 | 25:02 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 6 | 7 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 28 | 24:42 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Eric BrewerTOR | 30 | 24:30 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 1 | 10 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 28 | 24:01 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 5 | 4 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 25 | 21:08 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 28 | 21:05 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 9 | 4 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 20:18 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 26 | 19:59 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 9 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 25 | 19:47 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 9 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 23 | 19:36 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 8 | 1 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 23 | 19:27 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 8 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 21 | 17:47 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 6 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 24 | 17:31 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 0 | 8 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 20 | 17:04 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 24 | 16:50 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 25 | 16:33 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 22 | 16:31 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 20 | 15:54 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 7 | 2 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 21 | 15:44 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 21 | 15:19 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Richard PanikTOR | 19 | 14:26 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 21 | 14:26 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Tim ErixonTOR | 17 | 14:01 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrew MacWilliamTOR | 17 | 13:59 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 20 | 13:46 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Joakim LindstromTOR | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 6 | 1 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 16 | 11:49 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 |
 David LegwandOTT | 15 | 11:13 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 3 | 2 |
 David BoothTOR | 16 | 10:02 | 0:38 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach SillTOR | 16 | 9:47 | 0:37 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Casey BaileyTOR | 10 | 6:25 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 11 | 6:22 | 0:35 | 0:55 | 2 | 0 |