Sun, Apr 5, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
29%
56%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 30:25 | 0.65 | 51.3% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:02 | 0.09 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.20 | 33.3% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:08 | 0.07 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21:05 | 0.70 | 32.9% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:18 | 0.28 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.36 | 19.1% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.39 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.24 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.01 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.35 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.04 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:26 | 0.38 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.13 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:48 | 0.14 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.05 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.15 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:22 | 0.09 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.44 | +1.4 | 64:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 27:06 | 0.14 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:42 | 0.06 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:42 | 0.01 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:30 | 0.05 | 72.3% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.08 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:36 | 0.92 | 57.9% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:27 | 0.41 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.20 | 35.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.55 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:50 | 0.25 | 39.3% | +23.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.10 | 31.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.11 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.10 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.23 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:47 | 0.21 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:25 | 0.02 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 43 | 2 | .956 | 4.31 | +2.3 | 65:00 |