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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 17, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:50Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 2:52Goal by Reinhart (Ennis)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Killorn, Garrison, Kucherov, Koekkoek · BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart

  4. P1 4:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 4:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 5:31Shot by Boyle, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 6:57Shot by Gionta, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 7:40Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 8:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 9:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 12:53Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 13:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 13:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 16:09Moulson: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Drouin · BUF Franson, Weber, Ennis, O'Reilly, Reinhart

  18. P1 16:20Shot by Franson, saved by Bishop5v4
  19. P1 19:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 19:22Shot by Kane, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 19:57Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 2:22Eichel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Namestnikov, Brown, Koekkoek, Sustr · BUF Gionta, Kane, Pysyk, McCabe, Eichel

  26. P2 3:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson5v4
  27. P2 4:21Drouin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Drouin · BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Pysyk, McCabe

  28. P2 6:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop4v5
  29. P2 6:48Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 7:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 10:27Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 10:27Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stralman, Killorn, Paquette · BUF Gorges, Kane, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel

  33. P2 10:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson5v4
  34. P2 10:53Shot by Garrison, saved by Johnson5v4
  35. P2 12:29Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 13:33Shot by Eichel, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 13:41Goal by Namestnikov, unassisted+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Sustr · BUF Moulson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  38. P2 14:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 14:49Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 15:44Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 17:13Shot by Foligno, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 19:16Shot by Paquette, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 19:22Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 19:17Shot by Paquette, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 19:42Shot by Kane, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 19:44Carle: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Namestnikov, Paquette · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:52Shot by Kane, saved by Bishop
  50. P3 3:02Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 7:06Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 7:44Shot by Paquette, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 8:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 10:15Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 10:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 10:45Coburn: Holding the stick (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Johnson, Sustr · BUF Gorges, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  57. P3 11:19Shot by McGinn, saved by Bishop4v5
  58. P3 11:35Shot by Garrison, saved by Johnson4v5
  59. P3 12:08Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop4v5
  60. P3 12:13Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bishop4v5
  61. P3 12:44Shot by Eichel, saved by Bishop4v5
  62. P3 14:23Franson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Garrison, Kucherov, Namestnikov · BUF Legwand, Franson, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons

  63. P3 15:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson5v4
  64. P3 16:01Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson5v4
  65. P3 16:03Goal by Killorn (Johnson, Palat)5v4+38 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · BUF Gionta, Weber, Kane, Pysyk

  66. P3 16:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final