Sat, Oct 17, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
45%
10%
10%
35%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.08 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 23:13 | 0.34 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.00 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:23 | 0.11 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 18:45 | 0.66 | 63.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.17 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.07 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.03 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.42 | 61.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.04 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.02 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:46 | 0.17 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:30 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.34 | +0.3 | 57:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.05 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.09 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.08 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.03 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.12 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.10 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:13 | 0.06 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.25 | 72.6% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.44 | 35.9% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.06 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.31 | 22.1% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.39 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.11 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.05 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.13 | 78.9% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.11 | +1.1 | 59:44 |