Sat, Oct 17, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
45%
10%
10%
35%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Kane–Eichel | Ennis–O'Reilly–Reinhart | Moulson–Foligno–Girgensons | Legwand–McGinn–Deslauriers | McGinn–Ennis–O'Reilly | Kane–Foligno–Girgensons | Gorges–Ristolainen | Pysyk–McCabe | Franson–Weber | Franson–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | 4:370.04–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.08 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:300.04–0.07 | 1:480.00–0.02 | 2:380.02–0.00 | ||||
| Callahan–Stamkos–Drouin | 0:580.02–0.02 | 1:500.00–0.35 | 2:380.01–0.00 | 2:200.02–0.07 | 2:020.04–0.33 | 2:260.03–0.10 | ||||
| Filppula–Killorn–Paquette | 1:180.01–0.05 | 1:390.01–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.06 | 2:130.02–0.10 | 2:100.03–0.05 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||
| Boyle–Namestnikov–Brown | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.03 | 1:180.02–0.00 | 1:520.06–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.03 | ||||
| Filppula–Stamkos–Palat | 1:320.22–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.04 | 1:430.24–0.00 | ||||||
| Callahan–Killorn–Johnson | 0:520.00–0.20 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.20 | 1:160.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kucherov–Namestnikov–Paquette | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:510.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Filppula–Killorn–Stamkos | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Callahan–Johnson–Brown | 0:390.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.12 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Sustr | 4:550.11–0.60 | 1:430.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.06 | 3:360.00–0.38 | 2:010.12–0.26 | 3:380.00–0.02 | 1:050.02–0.00 | ||
| Garrison–Koekkoek | 1:500.00–0.00 | 3:000.07–0.04 | 1:290.03–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.04 | 3:270.09–0.04 | 2:300.02–0.17 | 1:140.01–0.05 | |||
| Carle–Stralman | 3:530.05–0.08 | 1:020.38–0.00 | 1:190.01–0.00 | 4:000.09–0.08 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 2:140.38–0.00 | ||||
| Carle–Sustr | 0:490.02–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 1:250.02–0.10 | |||||
| Coburn–Stralman | 2:330.24–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:200.22–0.02 | 2:000.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Coburn–Garrison | 0:410.02–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 0:570.00–0.05 | 1:000.00–0.04 | 0:520.05–0.03 | |||||
| Carle–Garrison | 0:580.01–0.02 | 0:490.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Carle | 0:440.00–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 30 | 23:57 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 2 | 7 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 23 | 23:19 | 1:01 | 1:53 | 3 | 6 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 23 | 23:13 | 1:01 | 2:38 | 4 | 5 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 21:55 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 2 | 6 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 23 | 21:23 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 22 | 21:08 | 0:58 | 1:53 | 4 | 5 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 24 | 20:30 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 23 | 20:30 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 26 | 20:27 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 5 | 1 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 21 | 19:29 | 0:56 | 2:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 20 | 18:48 | 0:56 | 2:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 20 | 18:45 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 18:35 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 4 | 6 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 22 | 18:23 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 22 | 18:13 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 18 | 18:05 | 1:00 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 22 | 18:02 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 16 | 16:50 | 1:03 | 1:53 | 2 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 23 | 16:26 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 18 | 16:23 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 15:43 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 6 | 2 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 22 | 15:03 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 18 | 14:59 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 14:40 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 13:51 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 16 | 13:41 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 3 | 1 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 13 | 11:59 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 17 | 11:24 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 19 | 11:23 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 15 | 10:44 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 14 | 10:22 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 3 | 0 |
 Slater KoekkoekTBL | 14 | 10:21 | 0:44 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 David LegwandBUF | 14 | 10:21 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Jamie McGinnBUF | 13 | 8:46 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 2 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 7 | 5:30 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |