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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 20, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:47Shot by Garrison, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Carle, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:03Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 4:13Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 4:17Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 5:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 5:58Shot by Stralman, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:26Shot by Callahan, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:39Shot by Carle, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 9:35Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 10:56Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 11:00Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 11:42Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 12:22Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 14:00Shot by Callahan, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 14:12Arvidsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Hodgson, Josi, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin

  21. P1 16:13Shot by Garrison, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 17:38Shot by Coburn, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 19:07Goal by Fisher (Weber, Neal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  24. P1 19:40Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:51Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 1:39Neal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Weber, Neal, Josi · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin

  29. P2 2:15Shot by Fisher, saved by Bishop4v5
  30. P2 3:25Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Filppula)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin

  31. P2 3:58Shot by Wilson, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 5:20Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 5:41Shot by Stralman, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 6:02Shot by Drouin, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 8:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:51Goal by Kucherov (Palat, Coburn)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  37. P2 10:29Goal by Weber (Ribeiro, Wilson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith · TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Garrison, Paquette

  38. P2 10:53Shot by Ekholm, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 11:10Stamkos: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin

  40. P2 13:51Bishop: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Hodgson, Josi, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  41. P2 14:25Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop5v4
  42. P2 15:37Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop5v4
  43. P2 17:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 17:41Goal by Callahan (Hedman, Stralman)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Bartley, Bourque, Bitetto · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin

  45. P2 18:55Goal by Neal (Forsberg, Fisher)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Ekholm, Forsberg, Jones · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Namestnikov, Sustr

  46. P2 19:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:06Shot by Callahan, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 2:56Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 3:08Shot by Bitetto, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 3:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 5:17Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 5:24Goal by Condra (Boyle)+31 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Hodgson, Josi, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · TBL Boyle, Carle, Condra, Garrison, Namestnikov

  55. P3 5:43Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 7:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 7:29Shot by Josi, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 7:34Shot by Neal, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 8:28Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 9:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 10:17Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 13:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 13:49Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 14:30Goal by Neal (Forsberg)+38 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · TBL Boyle, Carle, Stralman, Condra, Namestnikov

  65. P3 14:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 17:22Coburn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Bartley, Bitetto, Forsberg · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Paquette, Sustr

  67. P3 17:42Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop5v4
  68. P3 17:46Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop5v4
  69. P3 17:45Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop5v4
  70. P3 18:09Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop5v4
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rinne3v3
  74. OT 2:04Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop3v3
  75. OT 5:00Period end
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Goal by Forsberg, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Callahan, saved by Rinneother
  79. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Bishopother
  80. SO Shot by Drouin, saved by Rinneother
  81. SO Shot by Neal, saved by Bishopother
  82. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rinneother
  83. SO Period end
  84. SO Final