Tue, Oct 20, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
41%
9%
10%
40%
NSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:51 | 0.15 | 58.4% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.25 | 74.7% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.05 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:16 | 0.19 | 44.6% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.34 | 51.1% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:00 | 0.02 | 29.9% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.03 | 33.6% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.02 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.31 | 43.7% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.03 | 49.9% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.09 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.05 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.11 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 11:54 | 0.40 | 70.7% | +30.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.17 | 74.2% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.08 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 65:00 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 26:21 | 0.07 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:40 | 0.14 | 66.6% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:31 | 0.08 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 | 0.08 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 20.3% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:04 | 0.50 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.16 | 77.9% | +65.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 8 | 20:28 | 0.53 | 72.6% | +84.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.06 | 24.2% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.35 | 81.6% | +46.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.02 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.10 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:32 | 0.07 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:11 | 0.27 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.37 | −1.6 | 64:57 |