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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 31, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–ConnollyKelly–Eriksson–KrejciEriksson–Krejci–PastrnakBeleskey–Hayes–KemppainenKelly–Beleskey–SpoonerKelly–Rinaldo–KemppainenBeleskey–Hayes–SpoonerRinaldo–Spooner–PastrnakMcQuaid–KrugChara–MillerMiller–MorrowChara–MillerMorrow–MillerMiller–KrugMcQuaid–Miller
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:530.03–0.002:560.18–0.122:220.00–0.001:190.00–0.140:500.00–0.013:220.07–0.031:510.08–0.192:160.04–0.092:030.04–0.000:430.03–0.00
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos1:550.00–0.261:500.00–0.001:280.00–0.001:100.06–0.050:530.00–0.000:460.00–0.003:550.00–0.352:470.00–0.020:350.00–0.001:370.05–0.000:460.03–0.00
Filppula–Boyle–Condra3:190.02–0.020:530.00–0.000:350.05–0.001:310.06–0.002:330.00–0.022:010.10–0.000:560.02–0.000:320.03–0.000:550.02–0.00
Namestnikov–Marchessault–Brown1:130.00–0.010:470.00–0.000:320.00–0.090:360.14–0.000:540.00–0.021:110.06–0.000:390.00–0.011:390.00–0.110:460.00–0.000:440.14–0.00
Filppula–Callahan–Killorn0:450.00–0.030:320.00–0.020:320.00–0.020:390.00–0.03
Callahan–Stamkos–Namestnikov0:400.00–0.010:400.00–0.01
Garrison–Nesterov2:230.00–0.093:440.12–0.122:070.00–0.000:360.00–0.070:530.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.024:490.05–0.063:080.08–0.121:490.00–0.131:360.04–0.000:580.03–0.00
Stralman–Hedman5:160.05–0.350:580.00–0.030:590.00–0.111:200.03–0.000:350.00–0.003:260.00–0.305:010.05–0.381:100.00–0.000:460.04–0.001:040.03–0.091:130.02–0.00
Coburn–Sustr2:440.00–0.010:450.07–0.002:570.00–0.001:160.05–0.090:330.02–0.000:380.00–0.010:540.00–0.023:550.13–0.001:280.00–0.012:530.05–0.121:460.05–0.000:360.01–0.04
Stralman–Nesterov0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:380.00–0.011:250.02–0.100:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoyle FCondra FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FBrown FNamestnikov FMarchessault FStralman DHedman DCoburn DSustr DGarrison DNesterov DBishop GConnolly FBergeron FMarchand FEriksson FKrejci FPastrnak FBeleskey FSpooner FHayes FKelly FRinaldo FKemppainen FKrug DMcQuaid DChara DMiller DMorrow DMiller DGustavsson G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS2724:100:542:0329
Anton StralmanTBL2623:120:542:3134
Loui ErikssonBOS2622:270:521:4516
Torey KrugBOS2722:250:501:2215
Kevan MillerBOS2421:290:541:5217
Patrice BergeronBOS2621:140:491:2315
Victor HedmanTBL2420:520:521:5752
Ondrej PalatTBL2420:330:511:3841
Adam McQuaidBOS2420:250:512:2115
Ryan CallahanTBL2320:180:531:5192
Tyler JohnsonTBL2420:030:501:3841
David KrejciBOS2319:540:521:3415
Steven StamkosTBL2219:460:542:2371
Alex KillornTBL2119:320:561:5181
Nikita KucherovTBL2018:350:561:3740
Nikita NesterovTBL1818:001:001:5131
Brad MarchandBOS2518:000:431:2325
Chris KellyBOS2316:520:441:5005
Jason GarrisonTBL2116:450:481:5142
Andrej SustrTBL2016:340:502:1202
Braydon CoburnTBL2116:210:472:1212
Valtteri FilppulaTBL1915:010:471:5183
Colin MillerBOS1714:500:521:3131
Brett ConnollyBOS2014:330:441:1823
Joonas KemppainenBOS2013:270:401:2012
Joe MorrowBOS1713:160:471:2821
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1312:581:001:4721
Matt BeleskeyBOS1812:440:421:2821
Brian BoyleTBL1511:220:451:5252
Erik CondraTBL1310:510:502:0522
Ryan SpoonerBOS1510:400:431:1540
Jimmy HayesBOS1710:390:381:1321
David PastrnakBOS97:410:511:1821
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL87:020:531:4501
JT BrownTBL76:540:591:3501
Zac RinaldoBOS85:530:441:2120