Sat, Nov 7, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Ottawa Senators 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 81% of the time.
75%
13%
CAR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | Turris–Stone–Prince | Michalek–Chiasson–Pageau | Neil–Puempel–Lazar | Turris–Stone–Lazar | Ryan–Hoffman–Lazar | Methot–Karlsson | Wiercioch–Borowiecki | Cowen–Wideman | Karlsson–Wiercioch | Methot–Wideman | Borowiecki–Wideman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerbe–Staal–Terry | 6:130.04–0.24 | 2:340.00–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.15 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:590.08–0.03 | 4:320.05–0.16 | 2:430.01–0.31 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | |||
| Staal–Versteeg–Rask | 1:120.01–0.00 | 3:470.04–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 2:110.35–0.00 | 6:570.06–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.05 | 1:210.37–0.00 | |||||
| Nash–Skinner–Lindholm | 0:310.05–0.00 | 2:150.12–0.05 | 2:370.02–0.00 | 2:040.04–0.06 | 1:530.17–0.01 | 2:160.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Staal–Rask–Lindholm | 2:120.23–0.00 | 1:320.02–0.07 | 1:150.01–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.00 | 1:280.01–0.00 | 0:580.22–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.07 | 0:300.02–0.00 | |||
| Versteeg–Nash–Skinner | 0:440.00–0.12 | 0:490.13–0.02 | 1:400.03–0.00 | 1:280.16–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| McClement–Malone–McGinn | 0:300.00–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.09 | |||||||
| McClement–Staal–McGinn | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.15–0.00 | 0:360.15–0.00 | |||||||||
| Jordan–Murphy | 1:120.29–0.12 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 4:330.05–0.22 | 1:580.35–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 5:490.04–0.11 | 2:000.01–0.05 | 3:180.70–0.27 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||
| Hainsey–Pesce | 6:060.10–0.29 | 2:110.02–0.05 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:080.40–0.00 | 3:130.08–0.13 | 3:330.02–0.09 | 4:240.12–0.25 | 1:020.40–0.00 | ||||
| Liles–Faulk | 2:580.25–0.00 | 6:570.22–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 4:430.14–0.04 | 4:380.16–0.09 | 2:450.20–0.00 | |||||
| Hainsey–Faulk | 1:140.03–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.07 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:590.03–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.07 | 0:300.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Hainsey–Murphy | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:180.11–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Jordan–Pesce | 0:420.03–0.00 | 1:060.03–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CAROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 30 | 27:48 | 0:56 | 1:56 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 27 | 24:42 | 0:55 | 2:42 | 11 | 5 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 29 | 24:40 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 13 | 3 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 28 | 23:21 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 30 | 23:18 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 5 | 3 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 29 | 21:45 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 13 | 3 |
 Ryan MurphyCAR | 24 | 21:44 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 9 | 1 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 24 | 21:25 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 4 | 5 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 27 | 20:59 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 3 | 7 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 25 | 20:13 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 7 | 1 |
 Kris VersteegCAR | 28 | 20:03 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 10 | 1 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 26 | 20:02 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 2 | 6 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 29 | 19:42 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 7 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 19:36 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 5 | 5 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 26 | 18:48 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 7 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeCAR | 26 | 17:51 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 4 | 5 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 26 | 17:31 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 25 | 17:25 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 8 | 2 |
 Riley NashCAR | 28 | 17:03 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 7 | 2 |
 John-Michael LilesCAR | 21 | 16:52 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 21 | 16:38 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 0 | 4 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 23 | 16:35 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 26 | 16:29 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 2 | 9 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 24 | 16:28 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 7 | 0 |
 Michal JordanCAR | 20 | 16:20 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 5 | 3 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 22 | 15:44 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 5 | 3 |
 Shane PrinceOTT | 18 | 15:35 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 1 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 22 | 15:08 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 17 | 14:08 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 23 | 13:04 | 0:34 | 1:17 | 3 | 6 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 22 | 12:42 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 3 | 6 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 10 | 7:47 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt PuempelOTT | 9 | 6:23 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 8 | 5:38 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 8 | 5:29 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Brad MaloneCAR | 6 | 3:01 | 0:30 | 1:02 | 1 | 0 |