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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 10, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:42Shot by Legwand, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:05Paquette: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Brown, Paquette · BUF Colaiacovo, Franson, Larsson, Girgensons, Reinhart

  5. P1 5:34Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 5:52Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  7. P1 5:57Goal by Eichel (Franson)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Condra, Sustr · BUF Gionta, Franson, McGinn, Larsson, Eichel

  8. P1 6:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 6:15Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 6:31Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 8:38Foligno: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Condra, Namestnikov, Sustr · BUF Legwand, Foligno, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe

  13. P1 8:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson5v4
  14. P1 11:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:42Shot by Coburn, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 12:10Shot by Moulson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 14:35Legwand: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Garrison, Brown, Paquette · BUF Legwand, Foligno, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe

  18. P1 17:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 18:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 19:48Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:26O'Reilly: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown, Paquette · BUF Gionta, Moulson, O'Reilly, Pysyk, McCabe

  24. P2 0:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson5v4
  25. P2 0:52Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  26. P2 1:40Goal by Franson (Eichel, Ennis)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Namestnikov, Sustr · BUF Colaiacovo, Franson, McGinn, Ennis, Eichel

  27. P2 1:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 2:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 2:56Franson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Franson, Foligno, Deslauriers

  31. P2 4:00Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  32. P2 6:05Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 8:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 9:23Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 9:34Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 9:38Gionta: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  37. P2 10:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson5v4
  38. P2 11:39Shot by Drouin, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 11:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 12:42Garrison: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov · BUF Colaiacovo, Franson, McGinn, Larsson, Eichel

  41. P2 13:26Shot by Condra, saved by Johnson4v5
  42. P2 14:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  43. P2 15:24Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 16:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 17:34Shot by Callahan, saved by Johnson
  46. P2 18:02Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 19:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 19:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 2:19Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 3:58Shot by Sustr, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 5:24Goal by Foligno (Legwand, Deslauriers)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Condra, Hedman, Drouin · BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Franson, Foligno, Deslauriers

  55. P3 5:43Shot by Sustr, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 5:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 7:41Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 9:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 9:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 11:14Shot by Carle, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 11:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 12:00Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 12:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
  64. P3 12:54Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson
  65. P3 15:08Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 15:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 15:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 17:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson6v5
  69. P3 17:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson6v5
  70. P3 18:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson6v5
  71. P3 19:24Goal by Ristolainen (Johnson)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin · BUF Gorges, McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final