Tue, Nov 10, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
45%
11%
11%
34%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:28 | 0.42 | 38.4% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:39 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.03 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 9.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 17:55 | 0.31 | 57.8% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.03 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.05 | 40.5% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.10 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.30 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.06 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.09 | 66.0% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.22 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.01 | 26.8% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 35.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:05 | 0.12 | 30.6% | +14.8 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.07 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 24:15 | 0.14 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:43 | 0.13 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.31 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:42 | 0.21 | 68.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.49 | 57.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.27 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.05 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.15 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.04 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.07 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.03 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.05 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.06 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.00 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.02 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.42 | −1.6 | 57:10 |